The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zamora 26.3%
Draw 29%
Deportivo Táchira 44.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25%
28.9%
46%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.5%
28.3%
46.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Deportivo Táchira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Zamora - Deportivo Táchira Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Velasquez B. (G) 40. Valladares I. 4. Rodriguez B. 25. Mosquera J. 22. Madera J. 77. Jimenez N. 27. Diaz Moreno C. M. 8. Flores A. (C) 20. Sulbaran S. 17. Marco Bustillo 38. Sinisterra J.
1. Araque A. (C) 45. Provenzano F. 3. Lusnig L. 4. Fratta G. 2. Sanchez J. 88. Alfonzo D. 25. Perez A. 24. Caraballo J. 38. Lozano G. 10. Sosa C. 9. Pollero R.
Substitutes
28. Exime J. 9. Flores J. 7. Gallardo E. 2. Gomez S. 11. Manrique H. 33. Martinez N. 6. Moreno J. 1. Paredes E. (G) 30. Torrealba S.
21. Adamo V. 42. Barroso E. 13. Camacho P. 37. Duarte Arias J. D. 31. Mendez C. 14. Palmezano B. 7. Penaranda A. 44. Tamiche E. 30. Vargas E. (G) 41. Wilches W. 11. Woiski A. 27. Zuniga L.
Coaches
Ortiz J.
Recoba A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Provenzano F. ↓, Penaranda A. ↑,
42', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Penaranda A. ⚽, Caraballo J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 4)
46', 0 - 2, Lozano G. ⚽, Penaranda A. (A),
50', Caraballo J. 🟨,
55', Sulbaran S. ↓, Gallardo E. ↑,
56', Rodriguez B. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
60', 0 - 3, Pollero R. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Jimenez N. ↓, Torrealba S. ↑,
68', 1 - 3, Sinisterra J. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Alfonzo D. ↓, Zuniga L. ↑,
71', Pollero R. ↓, Wilches W. ↑,
71', Lozano G. ↓, Adamo V. ↑,
77', Flores A. ↓, Manrique H. ↑,
80', 1 - 4, Sosa C. ⚽, Perez A. (A),
83', Sanchez J. ↓, Camacho P. ↑,
84', 1 - 5, Adamo V. ⚽, Sosa C. (A),
86', Marco Bustillo 🟨,
88', 2 - 5, Marco Bustillo ⚽, Gallardo E. (A),
90+2', Wilches W. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Deportivo Táchira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Deportivo Táchira is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Zamora won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.7:1).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Dep. Tachira
11
7
2
2
24:14
10
23
13
Zamora
11
2
2
7
10:21
-11
8
Last Results with these Odds
Zamora - the odds 3.75 are the expected chance of winning is 25.05%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.