The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Táchira 62.8%
Draw 21.6%
Monagas 15.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.4%
25.7%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55%
23.3%
21.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Táchira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Táchira's performance.
Monagas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monagas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Táchira that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monagas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Táchira - Monagas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Araque A. (C) 88. Alfonzo D. 41. Wilches W. 3. Lusnig L. 2. Sanchez J. 10. Sosa C. 24. Caraballo J. 38. Lozano G. 27. Zuniga L. 9. Pollero R. 7. Penaranda A.
1. Riveros T. (G) 31. Fuentes D. 4. Maitan M. 14. Jaramillo F. 3. Queiroz F. 29. Henry N. (C) 35. Natera S. 5. Colorado J. 20. Diaz H. 19. Romero A. 7. Basante F.
Substitutes
21. Adamo V. 20. Calzadilla C. 13. Camacho P. 23. Hernandez O. 31. Mendez C. 14. Palmezano B. 25. Perez A. 45. Provenzano F. 70. Ramirez H. 44. Tamiche E. 30. Vargas E. (G) 11. Woiski A.
70. Arace R. 38. Asibe S. 16. Carrion E. 30. De La Hoz K. 33. Lima E. (G) 17. Paz J. 2. Rincones R. 21. Rodas A. 6. Romero A. 11. Uruena B.
Coaches
Recoba A.
Ortiz J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Pollero R. (Penalty Awarded),
25', 2 - 0, Penaranda A. ⚽, Zuniga L. (A),
37', Henry N. 🟨,
38', Queiroz F. ↓, Carrion E. ↑,
42', Colorado J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alfonzo D. ↓, Provenzano F. ↑,
56', Colorado J. ↓, Romero A. ↑,
56', Diaz H. ↓, Asibe S. ↑,
56', Henry N. ↓, Paz J. ↑,
57', Asibe S. 🟨,
59', Penaranda A. ↓, Woiski A. ↑,
59', Caraballo J. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
66', Zuniga L. ↓, Calzadilla C. ↑,
72', Romero A. ↓, Arace R. ↑,
73', Lozano G. ↓, Ramirez H. ↑,
76', Provenzano F. 🟨,
77', Calzadilla C. 🟨,
79', Maitan M. 🟥,
85', Natera S. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Táchira won 3.
Deportivo Táchira has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Monagas have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Monagas may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Deportivo Táchira is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Deportivo Táchira in today's match, at odds of 1.55.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Táchira has recorded 12 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:23 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo Táchira against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 19:11 goals (averaging 1.7:1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Táchira - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 50.36%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Araque A. (C) 
Lusnig L. 
Pollero R. 
Jaramillo F. 
Rodas A. 
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