The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portuguesa Acarígua 43.4%
Draw 29.9%
Caracas 26.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.7%
28.8%
29.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
28%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portuguesa Acarígua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa Acarígua than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+2%)
Portuguesa Acarígua - Caracas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Reyes J. (G) 66. Urpin C. 13. Peraza E. 33. Acuna M. 6. Trujillo A. 24. Lovazzano L. 5. Soto J. (C) 28. Gonzalez J. 11. Moreno J. 8. Salega G. 7. Rojas R.
1. Benitez F. (G) 30. Herrera A. 4. Quintero J. 14. La Mantia F. (C) 13. Yendis J. 34. Martinez Aponte C. A. 8. Gudino I. 20. Maestre Nino L. A. 10. Covea M. 11. Marquez M. 9. Fernandez A.
Substitutes
9. Canete J. 16. Garcia H. 14. Gonzalez O. 23. Linarez D. 19. Marco Bustillo 21. Mendoza R. 18. Montana C. 27. Moreno Quero L. 29. Pena W. 30. Suarez C. 1. Velasquez B. (G) 17. Zuniga K.
22. Figueroa A. 27. Gonzalez S. 15. Larotonda C. 19. Mago L. 3. Pagano L. 17. Reinoso L. 7. Robert Hernandez 32. Uribe J. 37. Vegas C. 12. Vegas J. (G) 5. Vegas M.
Coaches
Gonzalez L.
Aristeguieta F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Maestre Nino L. A. 🟨,
45', Gudino I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Martinez Aponte C. A. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
48', Lovazzano L. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Moreno J. ⚽, Salega G. (A),
63', Salega G. ↓, Mendoza R. ↑,
63', Gonzalez J. ↓, Linarez D. ↑,
65', Maestre Nino L. A. ↓, Larotonda C. ↑,
65', Marquez M. ↓, Uribe J. ↑,
68', Soto J. 🟨,
71', 1 - 1, Larotonda C. ⚽,
73', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
75', Lovazzano L. ↓, Suarez C. ↑,
75', Moreno J. ↓, Canete J. ↑,
78', Covea M. ↓, Robert Hernandez ↑,
85', Urpin C. ↓, Zuniga K. ↑,
90+2', La Mantia F. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 2.
Portuguesa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Caracas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Portuguesa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Portuguesa might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Portuguesa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).