Match Info

Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Agustín Tovar (Barinas)


	Zamora		Carabobo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.22	2.98	3.25
	2.35	2.94	3.63
	2.18	3.12	3.5	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.3
	2.21	3.19	3.29	Watch
	2.5	2.75	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.98)	2.98 ↑ (2.91)	3.26 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamora
40.5%

Draw
31.1%

Carabobo
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

31.6%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

31.2%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zamora's performance.

Carabobo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carabobo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zamora that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carabobo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Zamora - Carabobo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Zamora will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Carabobo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Carabobo (2.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Carabobo (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Corredor L. (G) 21. Gonzalez J. 4. Rodriguez B. 25. Mosquera J. 22. Madera J. 40. Valladares I. 27. Diaz Moreno C. M. 14. Sulbaran S. 10. Celis R. 9. Alvarez M. 7. Gallardo E. (C)	22. Bruera L. (C) 2. Guaramato M. 6. Bahachille A. 4. Aponte L. 17. Oliveros F. 30. Mendoza S. 16. Lopez F. 8. Perez J. 10. Orozco Y. 23. Meza D. 55. Moreno Ciorciari J. J.
Substitutes
29. Barragan J. 5. Barrios E. 6. Benitez G. 23. Cedeno J. 8. Flores A. 24. Gallo M. (G) 20. Guerrero R. 77. Jimenez N. 3. Lujano C. 13. Matos A. 11. Sequera J. 30. Torrealba S.	41. Angulo A. 29. Calabrese S. 38. Crespo E. 37. Diaz F. 13. Duran J. 42. Lopez D. 19. Martinez L. 46. Molina G. 18. Obando J. 12. Roa K. (G) 47. Sanchez S. 40. Torres N.
Coaches
Sanvicente N.	Farias D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Diaz Moreno C. M. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
61', Alvarez M. ↓, Sequera J. ↑,
62', Gallardo E. ↓, Torrealba S. ↑,
68', Meza D. ↓, Diaz F. ↑,
72', Diaz F. 🟨,
75', Sulbaran S. ↓, Barrios E. ↑,
78', Oliveros F. ↓, Obando J. ↑,
78', Moreno Ciorciari J. J. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
80', Valladares I. 🟨,
82', Torrealba S. 🟨,
85', Celis R. 🟨,
88', Celis R. ↓, Barragan J. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Zamora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Zamora won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Carabobo	11	5	3	3	12:8	4	18
13	Zamora	11	2	2	7	10:21	-11	8

Last Results with these Odds

Zamora - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 30.87%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamora FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.02.26	Universidad Central - Zamora	2:1 ✺
23.02.26	Zamora - Deportivo La Guaira	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Zamora	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Zamora - Estudiantes de Mérida	3:2 ✺
31.01.26	Rayo Zuliano - Zamora	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTLWW
- Carabobo FC
Copa Libertadores
04.03.26	Carabobo - Sporting Cristal	0:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.02.26	Carabobo - Caracas	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.02.26	Huachipato - Carabobo	1:2 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
20.02.26	Metropolitanos - Carabobo	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
17.02.26	Carabobo - Huachipato	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
09.08.25	Carabobo - Zamora	1:0
02.03.25	Zamora - Carabobo	0:1
03.09.24	Zamora - Carabobo	2:0
16.03.24	Carabobo - Zamora	3:1
30.09.23	Zamora - Carabobo	0:2
12.02.23	Carabobo - Zamora	3:0
22.10.22	Zamora - Carabobo	1:4

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