Match Info

Division 2 - Round 13

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Poland	18:00	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Zawisza Bydgoszcz		Swit Skolwin

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.50	3.50
	1.68	3.70	3.90
	1.91	3.90	3.65
	1.94	3.82	3.41	Watch
	1.80	3.85	3.60
	1.87	3.74	3.74	Watch
	1.90	3.55	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.68)	3.72 ↓ (3.75)	3.59 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zawisza Bydgoszcz
49.8%

Draw
24.7%

Swit Skolwin
25.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.1%

23.8%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

22.4%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zawisza Bydgoszcz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Swit Skolwin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zawisza Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zawisza Bydgoszcz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swit Skolwin than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Swit Skolwin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
46. Wojciechowski T. (G) 2. Dziarkowski M. 4. Golak S. 10. Kona M. (C) 9. Kozlowski F. 27. Kusmierczyk B. 25. Lukowski J. 3. Slawek M. 24. Staniak M. 17. Stepien M. 21. Szumilas W.	31. Abramowicz M. (G) 5. Goral J. 7. Gorgon A. 13. Kapelusz S. 34. Kifert A. 19. Kisly D. 10. Kort D. 8. Koziara M. 23. Nowicki S. 15. Wojdak K. (C) 24. Zendelek K.
Substitutes
20. Abdelhamid I. 8. Bogusiewicz K. . Kalitta M. 90. Mas M. 23. Nowak K. 1. Oczkowski M. (G) . Pietruszkiewicz G. 11. Rak S. 99. Szramowski L.	18. Golebiewski K. 77. Pieslak P. 76. Rajczykowski J. (G) 4. Rogala S. 9. Ropski K. 3. Szwiec D. 22. Wozniak A. 17. Zan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Szumilas W. ⚽, Kozlowski F. (A),
21', Zendelek K. 🟨,
24', 2 - 0, Szumilas W. ⚽, Dziarkowski M. (A),
39', 2 - 1, Koziara M. ⚽, Kapelusz S. (A),
41', 3 - 1, Lukowski J. ⚽, Kusmierczyk B. (A),
45+1', Kisly D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kisly D. ↓, Wozniak A. ↑,
46', Kifert A. ↓, Szwiec D. ↑,
47', Szwiec D. 🟨,
51', Staniak M. 🟨,
57', Kusmierczyk B. ↓, Bogusiewicz K. ↑,
68', Zendelek K. ↓, Ropski K. ↑,
69', Szumilas W. 🟨,
72', Lukowski J. ↓, Rak S. ↑,
72', Dziarkowski M. ↓, Nowak K. ↑,
73', Kozlowski F. ↓, Mas M. ↑,
80', Koziara M. ↓, Golebiewski K. ↑,
80', Stepien M. ↓, Kalitta M. ↑,
86', 3 - 2, Ropski K. ⚽,
87', 4 - 2, Nowak K. ⚽,
89', Wojdak K. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zawisza won 0.

Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.

Zawisza carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Zawisza has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:14 (averaging 1:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zawisza against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 1:3 goals (averaging 0.3:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Zawisza	13	5	4	4	24:20	4	19

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Zawisza: 0.81%

Last Results with these Odds

Zawisza Bydgoszcz - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 53.07%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Polish Division 2
18.10.26	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	4:3 ✺
11.10.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Znicz Pruszków	0:1 ✺
04.10.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Górnik Łęczna	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Hutnik - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLTT
- Swit Skolwin
Polish Division 2
17.10.26	Swit Skolwin - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Avia Świdnik - Swit Skolwin	1:0 ✺
Polish Division 2 - East
03.10.26	Swit Skolwin - Sokół Kleczew	2:1 ✺
Polish Division 2
18.09.26	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Swit Skolwin	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Swit Skolwin - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
26.05.24	Swit Skolwin - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:1
05.11.23	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Swit Skolwin	0:1
04.06.23	Swit Skolwin - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	3:3
05.11.22	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Swit Skolwin	0:1
29.05.22	Swit Skolwin - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	6:1
23.10.21	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Swit Skolwin	1:1

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