Match Info

Division 2 - Round 11

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Poland	19:30	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app


	Zawisza Bydgoszcz		Znicz Pruszków

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.50	2.37
	2.55	3.40	2.33
	2.14	3.9	3
	2.48	3.68	2.53	Watch
	2.1	3.6	2.95
	2.19	3.42	2.78	Watch
	2.15	3.5	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.33)	3.57 ↑ (3.18)	2.67 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zawisza Bydgoszcz
40%

Draw
25.6%

Znicz Pruszków
34.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38%

27.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

30%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zawisza Bydgoszcz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zawisza Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Znicz Pruszków Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oczkowski M. (G) 8. Bogusiewicz K. 77. Cywinski M. 2. Dziarkowski M. 4. Golak S. 13. Juskiewicz J. 10. Kona M. 9. Kozlowski F. 24. Staniak M. 17. Stepien M. 21. Szumilas W.	23. Napieraj K. (G) 7. Barnowski D. 20. Borecki M. 10. Jach J. 17. Kazimierczak A. 13. Mazurek B. 8. Nadolski A. 14. Okhronchuk V. 6. Pawlik M. 11. Proczek T. 77. Ratajczyk A.
Substitutes
. Abdelhamid 6. Kanach R. 27. Kusmierczyk B. . Lukowski 90. Mas M. 23. Nowak K. 11. Rak S. 3. Slawek M. 46. Wojciechowski T. (G)	9. Bartoszewicz A. 5. Broniewski M. 15. Glowinski M. 1. Gzowski N. (G) 25. Kosmalski J. 21. Redlinski A. 16. Szafranski D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Jach J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 0 - 1, Barnowski D. ⚽,
69', Bogusiewicz K. ↓, Kusmierczyk B. ↑,
69', Szumilas W. ↓, Rak S. ↑,
72', Mazurek B. ↓, Szafranski D. ↑,
77', Stepien M. ↓, Lukowski J. ↑,
77', Kona M. ↓, Mas M. ↑,
81', Ratajczyk A. ↓, Kosmalski J. ↑,
88', Dziarkowski M. 🟨,
88', Kazimierczak A. 🟨,
90+1', Juskiewicz J. 🟨,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Division 2 Promotion - Playoffs and 1st in the Promotion - Division 1).

In recent outings, Zawisza has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Znicz is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Recently, Znicz has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Pruszkow	13	10	2	1	27:12	15	32
6	Zawisza	13	5	4	4	24:20	4	19

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Pruszkow: 42.57% Zawisza: 0.81%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Polish Division 2
04.10.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Górnik Łęczna	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Hutnik - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Stal Stalowa Wola - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	3:3 ✺
29.08.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Legia II	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTTTW
- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 2
04.10.26	Znicz Pruszków - Stal Stalowa Wola	4:2 ✺
19.09.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Znicz Pruszków	1:3 ✺
11.09.26	Znicz Pruszków - GKS Tychy	1:1 ✺
Polish Division 2 - East
06.09.26	Znicz Pruszków - Hutnik	4:2 ✺
Polish Cup
02.09.26	Znicz Pruszków - Cracovia	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWTWW

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