Match Info

Date: 6 October 2020, Tuesday


	Zenit 2		Zenit Irkutsk

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	4.1	5
	1.55	4	4.6
	1.53	3.95	4.5
	1.58	4.25	4.77
	1.6	3.8	4.33
	1.48	4.25	5.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (2.22)	4.06 ↑ (3.2)	4.81 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zenit 2
58.8%

Draw
22.4%

Zenit Irkutsk
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

27.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

19.7%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zenit 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zenit 2's performance.

Zenit Irkutsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zenit Irkutsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenit 2 than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit Irkutsk than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.4%	0%	8.6%

Zenit 2 - Zenit Irkutsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Zenit 2 will win (votes: 53 - 91.4%). Zenit Irkutsk will win (votes: 5 - 8.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zenit 2: 84.2% – 98.6%.

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 and 11).

Recent matches Zenit 2 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zenit Irkutsk is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zenit Irkutsk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Zenit Irkutsk have a series of home games.

In this match Zenit 2 is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zenit 2 St Petersburg
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
27.09.20	Olimp Dolgoprudny - Zenit 2	2:1 ✺
20.09.20	Zenit 2 - Volga Tver	3:1 ✺
12.09.20	Murom - Zenit 2	1:0 ✺
06.09.20	Zenit 2 - Lokomotiv-Kazanka	6:0 ✺
29.08.20	Torpedo Vladimir - Zenit 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLWT
- Zenit Irkutsk
Russian Cup
30.09.20	Zenit Irkutsk - Nizhny Novgorod	0:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
27.09.20	Zenit Irkutsk - Dynamo 2 Moscow	1:0 ✺
24.09.20	Zenit Irkutsk - Leningradets	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
15.09.20	Zenit Irkutsk - Khimki	0:1 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
12.09.20	Luki-Energiya - Zenit Irkutsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL

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