Match Info

Date: 30 September 2020, Wednesday


	Zenit Irkutsk		Nizhny Novgorod

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.75	1.65
	4.75	3.75	1.6
	4.5	3.6	1.67
	5.2	3.6	1.6
	5.33	3.68	1.66
	5.25	3.4	1.67
	5.15	3.58	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.99 ↑ (4.7)	3.62 ↓ (3.65)	1.64 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zenit Irkutsk
18.5%

Draw
25.4%

Nizhny Novgorod
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

25.2%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

21.4%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zenit Irkutsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Nizhny Novgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenit Irkutsk than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nizhny Novgorod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zenit Irkutsk - Nizhny Novgorod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Zenit Irkutsk is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nizhny Novgorod is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Zenit Irkutsk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nizhny Novgorod is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zenit Irkutsk
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
27.09.20	Zenit Irkutsk - Dynamo 2 Moscow	1:0 ✺
24.09.20	Zenit Irkutsk - Leningradets	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
15.09.20	Zenit Irkutsk - Khimki	0:1 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
12.09.20	Luki-Energiya - Zenit Irkutsk	2:0 ✺
09.09.20	Dnepr Smolensk - Zenit Irkutsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLLW
- FC Nizhny Novgorod
Russian FNL
27.09.20	Nizhny Novgorod - Akron Tolyatti	3:0 ✺
23.09.20	Torpedo Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	0:2 ✺
19.09.20	Nizhny Novgorod - Shinnik	3:0 ✺
13.09.20	Fakel - Nizhny Novgorod	0:1 ✺
09.09.20	Nizhny Novgorod - Volgar Astrakhan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWW

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