Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 19

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Avangard Kursk		Zenit Penza

	1	X	2
	1.71	4.53	3.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.67)	4.53 ↑ (4.5)	3.62 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avangard Kursk
54.1%

Draw
20.4%

Zenit Penza
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

20.4%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

19.8%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avangard Kursk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Zenit Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avangard Kursk than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenit Penza than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Avangard Kursk - Zenit Penza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 1 - 0, Borisov S. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avangard Kursk won 4.

Avangard Kursk has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zenit Penza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Avangard Kursk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Avangard Kursk has had a series of home games.

In this match, Avangard Kursk is seen as the favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Avangard Kursk won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Avangard Kursk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Kursk	26	8	8	10	31:38	-7	32
12	Penza	26	7	4	15	25:48	-23	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avangard Kursk
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Kristall-MEZ Borisoglebsk	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
09.08.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Avangard Kursk	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Strogino Moskva	1:3 ✺
25.07.26	Avangard Kursk - SKA Khabarovsk 2	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	Avangard Kursk - Spartak Tambov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTLLL
- Zenit Penza
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
08.08.26	Zenit Penza - Volna Kovernino	0:2 ✺
Russian Cup
29.07.26	SKA Rostov - Zenit Penza	3:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
25.07.26	Rotor 2 - Zenit Penza	0:1 ✺
01.07.26	Zenit Penza - Salyut Belgorod	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Zenit Penza - Oryol	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
25.04.26	Zenit Penza - Avangard Kursk	0:1
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
10.10.21	Zenit Penza - Avangard Kursk	3:1
01.08.21	Avangard Kursk - Zenit Penza	4:0
Russian PFL Center
14.05.17	Zenit Penza - Avangard Kursk	0:2
09.10.16	Avangard Kursk - Zenit Penza	1:0
17.04.16	Zenit Penza - Avangard Kursk	2:1
31.08.15	Avangard Kursk - Zenit Penza	2:3

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