Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: First Division - Round 14

Date: 5 July 2024, Friday


	Zhetisay		SD Family

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	4.5
	1.67	3.77	4.46	Watch
	2.32	3	3.05
	1.66	3.65	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.33)	3.51 ↑ (2.99)	4.1 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhetisay
50.8%

Draw
26.5%

SD Family
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

30.7%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

29.6%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhetisay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zhetisay's performance.

SD Family has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SD Family might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhetisay than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zhetisay that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Family than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SD Family could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mukhambetzhanuly M. (G) 2. Mazhitov D. 4. Sarbay E. 13. Malikaydar S. 28. Asatulla A. 17. Zuftarov T. 69. Maulenov D. 9. Serikkul R. 23. Mukhituly K. 22. Kospayev Y. 20. Abylaykhan R.	1. Samoylov S. (G) 3. Kayrly A. 4. Maulen S. 5. Mazhit S. 88. Saylybaev O. 17. Shymyrkhan S. 77. Serikov N. 8. Dadaev I. 55. Bakirov S. 95. Tsoy D. 19. Madelkhan B.
Substitutes
74. Abdukhalyk A. (G) 7. Bastar I. 6. Kalibay B. 55. Kasymbek D. 10. Kudaybergen D. 8. Narzilda B. 77. Orazbek K.	89. Akhaev B. 44. Almukhamedov I. 22. Dadakhanov A. 48. Demin I. 2. Erkinbay Z. 18. Musaev E. 28. Onoprienko K. (G) 96. Saurbai A. 11. Skorykh M. 14. Useinov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Serikkul R. ⚽,
4', 1 - 1, Mazhit S. ⚽,
16', 2 - 1, Zuftarov T. ⚽,
27', Maulen S. ↓, Demin I. ↑,
38', Abylaykhan R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Bakirov S. ↓, Skorykh M. ↑,
60', Madelkhan B. ↓, Useinov D. ↑,
60', Serikov N. ↓, Musaev E. ↑,
71', Mazhit S. ↓, Dadakhanov A. ↑,
72', Mukhituly K. 🟨,
72', 2 - 2, Useinov D. ⚽,
74', Zuftarov T. ↓, Bastar I. ↑,
75', Kospayev Y. ↓, Orazbek K. ↑,
76', Serikkul R. 🟨,
79', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
85', Sarbay E. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 3, Shymyrkhan S. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 and 8).

Zhetisay is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches SD Family is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhetisay FC
Kazakh First League
28.06.24	Altai Semey - Zhetisay	0:0 ✺
21.06.24	Zhetisay - Arys	2:1 ✺
13.06.24	Zhetisay - Kairat 2	6:2 ✺
07.06.24	Aktobe 2 - Zhetisay	0:2 ✺
30.05.24	Batyr Ekibastuz - Zhetisay	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWWWL
- SD Family
Kazakh First League
28.06.24	SD Family - Khan Tengri	3:0 ✺
21.06.24	Batyr Ekibastuz - SD Family	4:2 ✺
13.06.24	SD Family - Turkistan	5:0 ✺
07.06.24	Taraz - SD Family	0:0 ✺
30.05.24	SD Family - Altai Semey	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WLWTL

Zhetisay - SD Family: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide