Match Info

First League - Round 21

Date: 10 September 2025, Wednesday


	Zhetisay		Kairat 2

	1	X	2
	2.18	4.05	2.48
	2.11	3.85	2.4
	1.38	6.01	5.13	Watch
	2.22	3.9	2.48	Watch
	2.25	4	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.25)	4.36 ↑ (4)	2.96 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhetisay
46.5%

Draw
21.6%

Kairat 2
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

22.1%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

22.3%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhetisay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zhetisay's performance.

Kairat 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kairat 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhetisay than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zhetisay that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat 2 than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kairat 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zhetisay - Kairat 2 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zhetisay (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Mukhambetzhanuly M. (G) 96. Abylaykhan R. 9. Amirbek N. 10. Baurzhan M. 33. Dandybaev N. 12. Imanali M. 20. Kospayev E. 2. Mazhitov D. (C) 3. Orynbasar O. 19. Rakhmetov M. 4. Sarbay E.	30. Mendygaliev I. (G) 86. Abdrakhmanov A. (C) 94. Bizhan A. 57. Duysenbek S. 74. Moldakhmet E. 91. Murtaza I. 84. Musaipov A. 75. Nurbekuly A. 32. Nurgaliev A. 39. Omar-Akhunov A. 53. Shen M.
Substitutes
8. Asatulla A. 5. Bastar I. 6. Bazarbay E. 74. Ibrahim E. 24. Karzhau A. 17. Kulmaganbetov A. 7. Madelkhan B. 79. Sarsenbek B. 16. Turdybaev N.	38. Abilda B. 52. Aitov E. (G) 48. Ismagulov T. 46. Nurbolat S. 45. Orynbasar D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Dandybaev N. (Pen),
15', Murtaza I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+2', Abylaykhan R. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 and 6)

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zhetisay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 3.3:3).

Including home match between the teams, Zhetisay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhetisay FC
Kazakh First League
08.08.25	Zhetisay - Khan Tengri	6:0 ✺
01.08.25	SD Family - Zhetisay	2:7 ✺
25.07.25	Zhetisay - Turkistan	3:1 ✺
18.07.25	Kaspiy Aktau - Zhetisay	2:2 ✺
11.07.25	Zhetisay - Akademiya Ontustik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWTL
- Kairat Almaty 2
Kazakh First League
07.08.25	Kairat 2 - Aktobe 2	2:2 ✺
31.07.25	Batyr Ekibastuz - Kairat 2	2:3 ✺
24.07.25	Kairat 2 - Ertis Pavlodar	0:3 ✺
18.07.25	Khan Tengri - Kairat 2	0:4 ✺
11.07.25	Kairat 2 - Turkistan	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
13.06.25	Kairat 2 - Zhetisay	1:0
01.08.24	Kairat 2 - Zhetisay	6:4
13.06.24	Zhetisay - Kairat 2	6:2

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