Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 33

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday


	Zibo Cuju		Jiangxi Lushan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3.3	1.98
	5	3.85	1.55
	5.79	3.97	1.45
	4.2	4.33	1.57
	6.9	4.4	1.41
	6	4	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.17 ↑ (2.5)	3.98 ↑ (3.7)	1.57 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Zibo Cuju
17.9%

Draw
23.3%

Jiangxi Lushan
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

25.3%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

26.1%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zibo Cuju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zibo Cuju's form might have worsened.

Jiangxi Lushan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jiangxi Lushan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zibo Cuju than the current prediction. (+20.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zibo Cuju, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (-22.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jiangxi Lushan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	16.7%	55.6%

Zibo Cuju - Jiangxi Lushan Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Zibo Cuju will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Jiangxi Lushan will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jiangxi Lushan: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 14).

Recent matches Zibo Cuju is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jiangxi Beidamen has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Jiangxi Beidamen have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Zibo Cuju won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Zibo Cuju won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zibo Cuju
Chinese Jia League
29.11.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Zibo Cuju	1:0 ✺
26.11.22	Zibo Cuju - Beijing Sport University	2:1 ✺
22.11.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Zibo Cuju	3:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
17.11.22	Zibo Cuju - Shenzhen	1:0 ✺
Chinese Jia League
11.11.22	Kunshan - Zibo Cuju	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.4 LWLWL
- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Jia League
30.11.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Suzhou Dongwu	1:3 ✺
25.11.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Jiangxi Lushan	1:1 ✺
21.11.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Kunshan	0:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
16.11.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Shanghai Shenhua	0:5 ✺
Chinese Jia League
12.11.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Beijing Sport University	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
07.11.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Zibo Cuju	2:1
16.12.21	Jiangxi Lushan - Zibo Cuju	1:5
28.11.21	Zibo Cuju - Jiangxi Lushan	0:0

Zibo Cuju - Jiangxi Lushan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide