Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 32

Date: 29 November 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Shenzhen Peng City		Zibo Cuju

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.3	4.6	8.25
	1.28	5.38	11.6
	1.31	5	8.5	Watch
	1.3	4.75	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.49)	4.93 ↑ (4.01)	9.09 ↑ (6.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen Peng City
71.1%

Draw
18.7%

Zibo Cuju
10.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.9%

23%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

21.8%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen Peng City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen Peng City's performance.

Zibo Cuju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen Peng City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zibo Cuju than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Shenzhen Peng City - Zibo Cuju Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Zibo Cuju will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shenzhen Peng City: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Zibo Cuju could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sichuan Jiuniu is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sichuan Jiuniu won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Sichuan Jiuniu won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Jia League
25.11.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Jiangxi Lushan	1:1 ✺
22.11.22	Beijing Sport University - Shenzhen Peng City	0:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
16.11.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:4 ✺
Chinese Jia League
11.11.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Shenzhen Peng City	0:1 ✺
07.11.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Kunshan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWLWL
- Zibo Cuju
Chinese Jia League
26.11.22	Zibo Cuju - Beijing Sport University	2:1 ✺
22.11.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Zibo Cuju	3:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
17.11.22	Zibo Cuju - Shenzhen	1:0 ✺
Chinese Jia League
11.11.22	Kunshan - Zibo Cuju	4:1 ✺
07.11.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Zibo Cuju	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
04.11.22	Zibo Cuju - Shenzhen Peng City	1:2
30.05.21	Zibo Cuju - Shenzhen Peng City	0:0
04.05.21	Shenzhen Peng City - Zibo Cuju	0:0
Chinese Yi League
12.10.19	Zibo Cuju - Shenzhen Peng City	2:2
05.10.19	Shenzhen Peng City - Zibo Cuju	2:3

Shenzhen Peng City - Zibo Cuju