Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 30

Date: 21 November 2022, Monday


	Jiangxi Lushan		Kunshan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	14.5	6	1.17
	12	5	1.22
	14	6	1.15
	16.87	6.56	1.18
	15.25	6.85	1.15
	14	6.2	1.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.44 ↑ (6.27)	6.1 ↑ (4.18)	1.17 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiangxi Lushan
6.4%

Draw
15.1%

Kunshan
78.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.4%

21.6%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

21.2%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jiangxi Lushan's form might have worsened.

Kunshan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kunshan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jiangxi Lushan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kunshan than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kunshan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	7.7%	46.2%

Jiangxi Lushan - Kunshan Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Jiangxi Lushan will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Kunshan will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jiangxi Lushan: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jiangxi Beidamen won 2.

Recent matches Jiangxi Beidamen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kunshan is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Jiangxi Beidamen have a series of home games.

In this match Kunshan is absolute favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Jiangxi Beidamen won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Jiangxi Beidamen won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese FA Cup
16.11.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Shanghai Shenhua	0:5 ✺
Chinese Jia League
12.11.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Beijing Sport University	0:1 ✺
07.11.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Zibo Cuju	2:1 ✺
03.11.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1 ✺
31.10.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Shenzhen Peng City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWLW
- Kunshan FC
Chinese FA Cup
17.11.22	Kunshan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:4 ✺
Chinese Jia League
11.11.22	Kunshan - Zibo Cuju	4:1 ✺
07.11.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Kunshan	0:2 ✺
03.11.22	Kunshan - Beijing Sport University	4:0 ✺
30.10.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Kunshan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
27.10.22	Kunshan - Jiangxi Lushan	3:0
10.06.21	Jiangxi Lushan - Kunshan	1:1
15.05.21	Kunshan - Jiangxi Lushan	6:0
Chinese Yi League
19.06.19	Jiangxi Lushan - Kunshan	1:0
16.03.19	Kunshan - Jiangxi Lushan	0:2
30.06.18	Kunshan - Jiangxi Lushan	2:0
19.08.17	Kunshan - Jiangxi Lushan	1:2

Jiangxi Lushan - Kunshan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide