Match Info

FNL - Round 8

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Rostec Arena (Kaliningrad)

Referee: Falov V. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Leningradets		Chelyabinsk

	1	X	2
	2.67	3.11	2.87
	2.6	3	2.8
	2.63	3.07	2.93	Watch
	2.46	2.9	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.67)	3.02 ↓ (3.02)	2.83 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leningradets
36%

Draw
30.9%

Chelyabinsk
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

31%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

31.4%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leningradets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Chelyabinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leningradets than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Leningradets - Chelyabinsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smirnov E. (G) 77. Bachinskiy M. 99. Emelyanov D. 37. Isaev K. 44. Kalugin N. 14. Kenfak O. 78. Kiselev G. 4. Kudryavtsev R. 32. Kulishev A. 5. Morozov K. 6. Rodin D.	93. Tuseev I. (G) 19. Baytukov R. 72. Bem A. 10. Gadzhimuradov R. 18. Kertanov K. 70. Levin G. 50. Lystsov V. 24. Pridava N. 7. Safronov I. 77. Samoilov D. 29. Urvantsev M.
Substitutes
96. Kuznetsov A. (G) 21. Makarov A. 19. Maksetsov A. 2. Nikolaev S. 9. Pershin M. 52. Petukhov I. 23. Stefanovich I. 7. Ukomskiy A. 11. Yakovlev D. 10. Zarypbekov E.	55. Borisov G. 74. Kacorri L. 99. Kamenshchikov D. 1. Lomaev I. (G) 6. Makarov S. 31. Pereverzev M. (G) 33. Pokotylo D. 23. Rogochiy B. 44. Rusyaev I.
Coaches
Podpaliy S.	Pilipchuk R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Isaev K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pridava N. ↓, Kamenshchikov D. ↑,
46', Lystsov V. ↓, Rogochiy B. ↑,
46', 0 - 1, Safronov I. ⚽,
61', 1 - 1, Kudryavtsev R. ⚽,
62', Morozov K. ↓, Makarov A. ↑,
62', Kenfak O. ↓, Pershin M. ↑,
62', Kulishev A. ↓, Yakovlev D. ↑,
65', Kertanov K. ↓, Makarov S. ↑,
67', Safronov I. 🟨,
72', Urvantsev M. ↓, Pokotylo D. ↑,
77', Kiselev G. ↓, Nikolaev S. ↑,
80', Bachinskiy M. ↓, Stefanovich I. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Rostec Arena.

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Leningradets has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chelyabinsk has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Leningradets won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Leningradets won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Leningradets: 0.78% Chelyabinsk: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Leningradets	12	3	4	5	10:20	-10	13
15	Chelyabinsk	12	3	3	6	13:19	-6	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Leningradets
Russian FNL
15.08.26	Leningradets - Arsenal Tula	0:0 ✺
09.08.26	Veles Moscow - Leningradets	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Leningradets - Sochi	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Leningradets - Ural	0:0 ✺
19.07.26	Shinnik - Leningradets	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 TLWTL
- FC Chelyabinsk
Russian FNL
15.08.26	Chelyabinsk - Torpedo Moscow	0:4 ✺
09.08.26	Rotor - Chelyabinsk	4:1 ✺
02.08.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Chelyabinsk	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Chelyabinsk - Nizhny Novgorod	1:2 ✺
19.07.26	Veles Moscow - Chelyabinsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
27.04.25	Leningradets - Chelyabinsk	1:0
09.03.25	Chelyabinsk - Leningradets	1:2
20.10.24	Chelyabinsk - Leningradets	0:0
25.08.24	Leningradets - Chelyabinsk	0:0

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