Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 8

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Rodina (Khimki)


	Rodina Moscow 3		Znamya Truda

	1	X	2
	3.62	3.44	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.5)	3.44 ↑ (3.42)	1.88 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow 3
25.1%

Draw
26.5%

Znamya Truda
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

26.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

25.9%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow 3 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Znamya Truda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow 3 than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Znamya Truda than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Tarasov R. (G) 19. Andreev A. 70. Atamanskiy I. 21. Belokhonov A. 93. Evstratov A. 23. Gaziev A. 6. Gorbachev I. 3. Kolobov E. 10. Kriulskiy A. 71. Postnikov N. 7. Trapitsyn N.	15. Terekhov D. (G) 33. Agalakov V. 97. Bosenkov N. 11. Dvoretskov F. 29. Ignatovich E. 21. Kaykov D. 54. Kistenev K. 7. Kukushkin A. 14. Peshcherov D. 24. Popov K. 75. Zhamaletdinov T.
Substitutes
4. Baranov P. 11. Belkovskiy M. 18. Borisov D. 98. Bykov N. (G) 8. Glotov A. 44. Gridin G. 17. Pastushkov V.	32. Chernobay D. 9. Dedyaev S. 96. Dronov N. 99. Egorov D. 71. Fattakhov A. (G) 23. Fetisov N. 17. Ionov A. 5. Lebedev N. 10. Morev E. 77. Ponomarev S. 88. Savin D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Dvoretskov F. ↓, Morev E. ↑,
40', 0 - 1, Zhamaletdinov T. ⚽,
45+2', Morev E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', Evstratov A. 🟨,
69', 1 - 1, Gaziev A. (Pen),
73', 🟨,
81', 1 - 2, Zhamaletdinov T. ⚽,
83', Kriulskiy A. ↓, Belkovskiy M. ↑,
85', Trapitsyn N. ↓, Pastushkov V. ↑,
88', Evstratov A. ↓, Baranov P. ↑,
90+1', Gorbachev I. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 3, Dronov N. ⚽,
90+3', Andreev A. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Znamya Truda will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rodina M won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Rodina M won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow 3
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
10.05.25	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Rodina Moscow 3	3:4 ✺
03.05.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Spartak Tambov	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Strogino Moskva	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Ryazan - Rodina Moscow 3	2:1 ✺
11.04.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Khimki 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTTLW
- Znamya Truda Orekhovo-Zuyevo
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
10.05.25	Znamya Truda - Ryazan	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Khimki 2 - Znamya Truda	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Znamya Truda - Oryol	5:0 ✺
19.04.25	Kvant Obninsk - Znamya Truda	0:5 ✺
12.04.25	Znamya Truda - Dynamo Bryansk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
26.08.24	Rodina Moscow 3 - Znamya Truda	1:2
07.09.23	Znamya Truda - Rodina Moscow 3	4:1
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
03.06.23	Znamya Truda - Rodina Moscow 3	1:3

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