Match Info

Date: 6 May 2021, Thursday


	Znamya Truda		Rodina Moscow

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	3.5	1.65
	4.2	3.5	1.7
	4.4	3.4	1.65
	4.81	3.54	1.65
	4.45	3.55	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (3.2)	3.5 ↑ (3.3)	1.67 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Znamya Truda
20%

Draw
25.9%

Rodina Moscow
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

27.5%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

20.7%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Znamya Truda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Znamya Truda's form might have worsened.

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rodina Moscow's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Znamya Truda than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Znamya Truda - Rodina Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 7).

Znamya Truda is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rodina is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Rodina is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Znamya Truda won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Znamya Truda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Znamya Truda Orekhovo-Zuyevo
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
29.04.21	Luki-Energiya - Znamya Truda	3:0 ✺
24.04.21	Znamya Truda - Smolensk	0:1 ✺
17.04.21	Znamya Truda - Dynamo 2 Moscow	1:1 ✺
12.04.21	Leningradets - Znamya Truda	2:1 ✺
06.04.21	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Znamya Truda	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLTLT
- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
29.04.21	Rodina Moscow - Lokomotiv-Kazanka	0:1 ✺
23.04.21	Rodina Moscow - Murom	2:2 ✺
17.04.21	Smolensk - Rodina Moscow	0:2 ✺
12.04.21	Rodina Moscow - Luki-Energiya	4:0 ✺
06.04.21	Volga Tver - Rodina Moscow	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 2
11.09.20	Rodina Moscow - Znamya Truda	1:1
Russian PFL West
26.10.19	Rodina Moscow - Znamya Truda	2:1
01.08.19	Znamya Truda - Rodina Moscow	2:1

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