Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 11

Date: 7 June 2025, Saturday

Location: SportComplex Znamja Truda (Orekhovo-Zuyevo)


	Znamya Truda		Strogino Moskva

	1	X	2
	1.27	5	8.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.33)	5 ↑ (4.7)	8.95 ↑ (7.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Znamya Truda
71.6%

Draw
18.2%

Strogino Moskva
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

19.4%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

18.4%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Znamya Truda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Strogino Moskva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Znamya Truda than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strogino Moskva than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Terekhov D. (G) 97. Bosenkov N. 29. Ignatovich E. 21. Kaykov D. 54. Kistenev K. 10. Morev E. 14. Peshcherov D. 24. Popov K. 8. Sabusov D. 88. Savin D. 75. Zhamaletdinov T.	12. Voronov I. (G) 14. Bogatikov D. 4. Chekhlov S. 11. Guzyuk S. 7. Khuranov R. 8. Saushkin V. 79. Shoronov K. 5. Skulmovskiy Y. 17. Solovjev A. 66. Tarnolitskiy K. 77. Torosyan R.
Substitutes
32. Chernobay D. 9. Dedyaev S. 96. Dronov N. 11. Dvoretskov F. 99. Egorov D. 71. Fattakhov A. (G) 23. Fetisov N. 17. Ionov A. 13. Kubyshkin I. 7. Kukushkin A. 5. Lebedev N. 77. Ponomarev S.	97. Alekseenkov A. 2. Belentjev M. 18. Chobanu A. 31. Dragan D. (G) 69. Dronov I. 34. Ganeev E. 26. Manukyan V. 9. Mikaelyan M. 15. Minasyan A. 3. Muldarov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Tarnolitskiy K. ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, Tarnolitskiy K. ⚽,
21', Guzyuk S. 🟨,
32', Popov K. ↓, Kukushkin A. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Guzyuk S. ↓, Mikaelyan M. ↑,
46', Sabusov D. ↓, Dvoretskov F. ↑,
47', Saushkin V. 🟨,
66', Morev E. ↓, Kubyshkin I. ↑,
66', Bosenkov N. ↓, Chernobay D. ↑,
66', Kistenev K. ↓, Ponomarev S. ↑,
67', Chernobay D. 🟨,
71', Solovjev A. ↓, Alekseenkov A. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Chernobay D. ⚽,
75', Khuranov R. ↓, Manukyan V. ↑,
84', 2 - 2, Zhamaletdinov T. ⚽,
89', 2 - 3, Torosyan R. ⚽,
90+3', Ignatovich E. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Znamya Truda won 3.

Znamya Truda is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Strogino's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Strogino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Znamya Truda is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Znamya Truda will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Znamya Truda won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Znamya Truda won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Znamya Truda Orekhovo-Zuyevo
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
31.05.25	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Znamya Truda	0:3 ✺
24.05.25	Znamya Truda - Spartak Tambov	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Znamya Truda	1:3 ✺
10.05.25	Znamya Truda - Ryazan	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Khimki 2 - Znamya Truda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLW
- FK Strogino Moskva
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
31.05.25	Strogino Moskva - Dynamo Bryansk	0:2 ✺
23.05.25	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Strogino Moskva	3:4 ✺
17.05.25	Strogino Moskva - Arsenal 2 Tula	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Spartak Tambov - Strogino Moskva	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Strogino Moskva - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
02.08.23	Strogino Moskva - Znamya Truda	2:3
Club Friendly
08.02.19	Strogino Moskva - Znamya Truda	1:3
Russian Cup
30.07.18	Znamya Truda - Strogino Moskva	3:2 penalties
Russian PFL West
16.04.17	Strogino Moskva - Znamya Truda	2:1
02.09.16	Znamya Truda - Strogino Moskva	0:0
21.10.15	Znamya Truda - Strogino Moskva	2:3
28.07.15	Strogino Moskva - Znamya Truda	0:0

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