Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 6

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Yantar (Moscow)


	Strogino Moskva		Dinamo Saint Petersburg

	1	X	2
	4.09	3.65	1.58
	4.67	4	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↑ (4.29)	3.83 ↓ (3.85)	1.61 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strogino Moskva
20.6%

Draw
23.5%

Dinamo Saint Petersburg
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

24.2%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

23.5%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strogino Moskva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Dinamo Saint Petersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strogino Moskva than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Saint Petersburg than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Strogino Moskva - Dinamo Saint Petersburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Voronov I. (G) 97. Alekseenkov A. 2. Belentjev M. 14. Bogatikov D. 4. Chekhlov S. 11. Guzyuk S. 26. Manukyan V. 8. Saushkin V. 79. Shoronov K. 66. Tarnolitskiy K. 77. Torosyan R.	86. Rybikov N. (G) 23. Borodin D. 44. Demin V. 94. Evseev A. 63. Kazarinov A. 15. Masalov A. 9. Pershin M. 5. Polkovnikov M. 7. Razborov A. 91. Tsallagov D. 11. Umarov R.
Substitutes
31. Dragan D. (G) 34. Ganeev E. 7. Khuranov R. 10. Maksymovich B. 20. Molibog I. 91. Pavlov N. (G) 17. Solovjev A. 13. Solovjev V.	25. Belik I. 30. Koldunov N. 20. Makarov G. 17. Sergienko A. 88. Shcherbatyuk A. 10. Shikov N. 13. Vasiljev P. 1. Zirikov N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Umarov R. ⚽,
29', Alekseenkov A. 🟨,
34', Kazarinov A. 🟨,
36', Razborov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Razborov A. ↓, Shcherbatyuk A. ↑,
63', Umarov R. ↓, Koldunov N. ↑,
65', Alekseenkov A. ↓, Molibog I. ↑,
66', Tsallagov D. 🟨,
73', Manukyan V. ↓, Khuranov R. ↑,
74', Polkovnikov M. 🟨,
76', Koldunov N. 🟨,
77', Chekhlov S. ↓, Bogatikov N. ↑,
79', 🟨,
79', Tsallagov D. ↓, Makarov G. ↑,
86', Rybikov N. 🟨,
90', Evseev A. ↓, Sergienko A. ↑,
90', Pershin M. ↓, Shikov N. ↑,
90+5', Bogatikov D. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 5).

Recent performances by Strogino have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dinamo SP is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Dinamo SP is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Strogino won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.5:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Strogino won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Strogino Moskva
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
27.04.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Strogino Moskva	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Strogino Moskva - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:3 ✺
12.04.25	Ryazan - Strogino Moskva	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	Strogino Moskva - Rotor 2	3:2 ✺
28.03.25	Khimki 2 - Strogino Moskva	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLLWT
- Dinamo Saint Petersburg
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
27.04.25	Metallurg Lipetsk - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Dinamo Saint Petersburg - Rotor 2	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Zenit Penza - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Dinamo Saint Petersburg - Salyut Belgorod	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Znamya Truda - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian PFL West
21.05.17	Dinamo Saint Petersburg - Strogino Moskva	5:0
09.10.16	Strogino Moskva - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	0:0
16.04.16	Strogino Moskva - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	0:3
01.09.15	Dinamo Saint Petersburg - Strogino Moskva	1:2

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