The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Znicz Pruszków 18.8%
Draw 24.2%
Ruch Chorzów 57%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.9%
25.5%
44.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.6%
25.3%
45%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Znicz Pruszków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Znicz Pruszków's form might have worsened.
Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ruch Chorzów's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Znicz Pruszków, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (-12%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ruch Chorzów, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.1%
9.1%
81.8%
Znicz Pruszków - Ruch Chorzów Predictions
Users Predictions:
Ruch Chorzów will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Napieraj K. (G) 7. Sokol D. 14. Okhronchuk V. 99. Koprowski O. 11. Moskwik P. (C) 22. Tabara K. 20. Borecki M. 25. Konieczny D. 10. Ciepiela B. 9. Majewski R. 17. Kazimierczak A.
82. Bielecki J. (G) 28. Lesniak-Paduch N. 24. Komor A. 22. Watson M. 4. Preisler D. 27. Szwoch M. 7. Kolar M. 20. Szymanski S. (C) 13. Jendryka J. 95. Szczepan D. 21. Szwedzik P.
Substitutes
29. Bak D. 3. Bartoszewicz A. 21. Mak M. 12. Misztal P. (G) 53. Nadolski A. 8. Proczek T. 30. Yuzvak A.
77. Ceglarz P. 33. Gradecki B. (G) 38. Karasinski S. 29. Lachendro F. 17. Lukic A. 23. Mezghrani M. 5. Rosol M. 1. Szymanski J. (G) 6. Szyminski P.
Coaches
Smolarow L.
Fornalik W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Ciepiela B. ⚽, Tabara K. (A),
7', Szwedzik P. 🟨,
29', Preisler D. ↓, Karasinski S. ↑,
35', 1 - 1, Szymanski S. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', 2 - 1, Tabara K. ⚽, Ciepiela B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kazimierczak A. ↓, Bak D. ↑,
56', 3 - 1, Ciepiela B. ⚽,
59', Szwoch M. 🟨,
59', Jendryka J. ↓, Lachendro F. ↑,
59', Kolar M. ↓, Ceglarz P. ↑,
68', Bak D. 🟨,
70', Konieczny D. 🟨,
72', 3 - 2, Szymanski S. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Tabara K. ↓, Proczek T. ↑,
89', Komor A. ↓, Lukic A. ↑,
90', Ciepiela B. ↓, Mak M. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Znicz is Relegated to Division 2
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Znicz won 1.
Znicz has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Ruch Chorzów is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Znicz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Ruch Chorzów is a strong favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Znicz won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Znicz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now
Pruszkow: 11.59% Ruch Chorzow: 4.51%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Ruch Chorzow
9
3
3
3
9:11
-2
12
Last Results with these Odds
Znicz Pruszków - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 29.87%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Poland
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Okhronchuk V. 
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