The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Znicz Pruszków 22.8%
Draw 25.7%
Ruch Chorzów 51.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.2%
27.4%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.9%
27.9%
39.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Znicz Pruszków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Znicz Pruszków's form might have worsened.
Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ruch Chorzów's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Znicz Pruszków, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ruch Chorzów, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Znicz Pruszków - Ruch Chorzów Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gzowski N. (G) 3. Holuj F. 6. Pawlik M. 10. Jach J. (C) 7. Barnowski D. 25. Kosmalski J. 5. Broniewski M. 20. Borecki M. 11. Proczek T. 15. Glowinski M. 13. Mazurek B.
82. Bielecki J. (G) 14. Wojcik F. 24. Komor A. 17. Lukic A. 3. del Moral A. 7. Kristan J. 20. Szymanski S. (C) 21. Szwedzik P. 25. Ventura D. 18. Nagamatsu S. 99. Coscia A.
Substitutes
18. Drabik F. 22. Karol M. 17. Kazimierczak A. 26. Kieszek W. 23. Napieraj K. (G) 14. Okhronchuk V. 21. Redlinski A. 16. Szafranski D. 37. Zawistowski N.
6. Chrapek M. 11. Cieslak S. 15. Konczkowski M. 28. Lesniak-Paduch N. 9. Pawlowski M. 5. Rosol M. 10. Sutherland T. 95. Szczepan D. 44. Wrabel J. (G)
Coaches
Smolarow L.
Fornalik W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pawlik M. ↓, Zawistowski N. ↑,
46', Broniewski M. ↓, Okhronchuk V. ↑,
58', Kosmalski J. ↓, Kieszek W. ↑,
60', Ventura D. ↓, Chrapek M. ↑,
60', Szwedzik P. ↓, Sutherland T. ↑,
60', Coscia A. ↓, Szczepan D. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Chrapek M. ⚽, Kristan J. (A),
66', Mazurek B. ↓, Kazimierczak A. ↑,
76', Lukic A. 🟨,
83', Nagamatsu S. ↓, Konczkowski M. ↑,
86', Glowinski M. ↓, Szafranski D. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Znicz won 2.
Znicz is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Ruch Chorzów is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Ruch Chorzów is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Znicz has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:9 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Znicz against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:5 goals (averaging 2:1.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Znicz Pruszków - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 34.15%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Ruch Chorzów - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 38.46%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Gzowski N. (G) 
Lukic A. 
del Moral A. 
Kristan J. 
Ventura D. 
Nagamatsu S. 
Coscia A. 
Okhronchuk V. 
Sutherland T. 
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