Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 15

Date: 25 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Ghadir Stadium (Ahvaz)


	Esteghlal Khuzestan		Zob Ahan

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.52	2.48
	2.83	2.84	2.69	Watch
	3.4	2.45	2.45
	3.32	2.8	2.44	Watch
	3.75	2.33	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.83)	2.59 ↓ (2.84)	2.49 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esteghlal Khuzestan
27.5%

Draw
35.5%

Zob Ahan
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

32.7%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

32.4%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esteghlal Khuzestan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Esteghlal Khuzestan's form might have worsened.

Zob Ahan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal Khuzestan than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Esteghlal Khuzestan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zob Ahan than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	72.7%	27.3%

Esteghlal Khuzestan - Zob Ahan Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Zob Ahan will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Zob Ahan (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Zob Ahan (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kia M. (G) 16. Jalalivand A. 11. Koohi A. 8. Bouhamdan H. 7. Rostami A. 70. Ahmadi H. 66. Mehdizadeh M. 41. Mirdurghi F. 29. Latifi G. 88. Zavari M. 77. Ahmadi M. M.	1. Jafari P. (G) 2. Hosseinifar A. 3. Ghahremani E. 4. Ghaderi A. 6. Mohammadi N. 14. Mokhtari P. 17. Alimohammadi J. 10. Pahlevan E. 69. Mosleh S. 30. Eslami A. 71. Mortazavi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Rostami A. 🟨,
14', 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 0, Ahmadi H. ⚽, Bouhamdan H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mosleh S. ↓, Taherkhani S. ↑,
46', Ghahremani E. ↓, Latifi O. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Jalalivand A. ⚽,
76', 🟨,
86', Jalalivand A. ↓, Abbasi A. ↑,
86', Ahmadi H. ↓, Pourshijani A. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal Khuzestan won 1.

Esteghlal Khuzestan has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Zob Ahan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal Khuzestan won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Esteghlal Khuzestan won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Zob Ahan - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.51%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esteghlal Khuzestan
Iran Pro League
15.12.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	3:1 ✺
09.12.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:1 ✺
04.12.25	Tractor Sazi - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:0 ✺
28.11.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Gol Gohar Sirjan	0:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
22.11.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Foolad Khuzestan	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTLL
- Zob Ahan
Iran Pro League
17.12.25	Zob Ahan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:0 ✺
09.12.25	Zob Ahan - Tractor Sazi	0:0 ✺
04.12.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Zob Ahan	0:0 ✺
28.11.25	Zob Ahan - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
22.11.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Zob Ahan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
17.04.25	Zob Ahan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:0
10.12.24	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Zob Ahan	0:0
13.03.24	Zob Ahan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:2
21.09.23	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Zob Ahan	1:2
17.03.19	Zob Ahan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:0
22.09.18	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Zob Ahan	1:0
24.01.18	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Zob Ahan	0:2

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