Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 22

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Lotto Park (Anderlecht)

Referee: Bultynck L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Sporza, Sporza


	Anderlecht U23		Lierse

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.52	3.55	2.48	Watch
	2.54	3.75	2.57
	2.45	3.78	2.55	Watch
	2.38	3.4	2.5
	2.42	3.48	2.44
	2.42	3.6	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.8)	3.58 ↑ (3.39)	2.5 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anderlecht U23
37.5%

Draw
25.7%

Lierse
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

27.1%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

26.4%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anderlecht U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Lierse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anderlecht U23 than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Anderlecht U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Anderlecht U23 - Lierse Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Anderlecht U23 will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Lierse will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lierse: 4% – 71%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Lierse (1.58) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lierse (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
73. Imbrechts J. (G) 62. Vroninks B. 50. Barry K. 68. Antwi D. 72. Akomolede B. 49. Onia Seke J. 23. Rits M. 60. Eriyo D. 90. N'Dao P. 78. Tajaouart A. (C) 28. Sternal E.	61. Vroman K. (G) 58. De Vos V. 26. Van Elsuwege T. 2. Perdichizzi P. (C) 77. Masaki H. 8. Daguin V. 36. Asare D. 3. Mayoka-Tika N. 9. Adinany B. 10. Stanic A. 22. Van Meirvenne C.
Substitutes
47. Biladi G. 80. De Corte D. 64. de Ridder A. 66. Haentjens M. (G) 45. Kana J. 56. Mahroug A. 40. Mujangi Bia A. 41. Putu Matadi J. 76. Van De Ven T.	20. Carron M. 17. Demuynck D. 27. De Peuter D. 1. De Smet J. (G) 18. Ekmen B. 7. Hidraoui-Akachar Y. 15. Saif-Eddine B. 29. Sy M. 19. Vermeulen T.
Coaches
Coen J.	Shoffner J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Stanic A. ⚽, Van Meirvenne C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', Perdichizzi P. 🟨,
59', Eriyo D. ↓, Van De Ven T. ↑,
60', Vroninks B. 🟨,
72', Rits M. ↓, de Ridder A. ↑,
72', Akomolede B. ↓, Mahroug A. ↑,
76', Perdichizzi P. 🟨,
77', Stanic A. ↓, Sy M. ↑,
81', Adinany B. 🟥,
83', 1 - 1, Mahroug A. ⚽,
85', Van Elsuwege T. 🟨,
87', N'Dao P. ↓, De Corte D. ↑,
87', Barry K. ↓, Biladi G. ↑,
90', De Vos V. ↓, De Peuter D. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Onia Seke J. ⚽, Mahroug A. (A),
90+4', 2 - 2, De Peuter D. ⚽, Mayoka-Tika N. (A),

Preview

Anderlecht U23 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lierse has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lierse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Anderlecht U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Anderlecht U23	7	0	1	6	7:17	-10	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anderlecht U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
17.01.26	Anderlecht U23 - Gent U23	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Kortrijk - Anderlecht U23	5:2 ✺
17.12.25	Anderlecht U23 - Francs Borains	2:0 ✺
12.12.25	Beveren - Anderlecht U23	2:1 ✺
09.12.25	Genk U23 - Anderlecht U23	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL
- Lierse Kempenzonen
Belgian Challenger Pro League
25.01.26	Beveren - Lierse	1:0 ✺
19.12.25	Lommel - Lierse	4:3 ✺
16.12.25	Lierse - Kortrijk	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Francs Borains - Lierse	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Lierse - Genk U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
29.11.25	Lierse - Anderlecht U23	1:0
08.03.25	Lierse - Anderlecht U23	3:1
30.11.24	Anderlecht U23 - Lierse	2:0

Anderlecht U23 - Lierse: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide