Match Info

BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA: WWIN Liga BiH - Round 32

Date: 20 May 2024, Monday

Location: Novi Gradski stadion (Ugljevik)

Referee: Dzemidzic E. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Zvijezda Brgule		Željezničar Sarajevo

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.35
	2.65	3.3	2.5
	2.79	3.35	2.35
	2.49	3.21	2.35
	2.62	3.25	2.38
	2.69	3.26	2.48
	2.65	3.3	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (3.02)	3.25 ↑ (3.23)	2.4 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zvijezda Brgule
34.3%

Draw
27.9%

Željezničar Sarajevo
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

27.6%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

27.3%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zvijezda Brgule has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Željezničar Sarajevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvijezda Brgule than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Željezničar Sarajevo than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Željezničar Sarajevo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Zvijezda Brgule - Željezničar Sarajevo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Zvijezda Brgule will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Željezničar will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
83. Damjanovic L. (G) 4. Djuric N. 13. Dujkovic M. 2. Jankovic L. 25. Karaklajic P. 55. Ponjevic D. (C) 27. Saliman K. 65. Sapic S. 6. Tomanovic S. 20. Vadze G. 77. Vukoja B.	13. Muftic V. (G) 22. Al Jaber A. 26. Amoah J. 6. Cocalic E. (C) 19. Drina A. 24. Galic M. 10. Hiros A. 44. Mahmic A. 8. Mekic N. 3. Radinovic S. 14. Stilic S.
Substitutes
90. Basic S. 19. Davidovic M. 12. Eminovic E. (G) 44. Ivancic J. 15. Makaric B. 21. Malic L. 8. Matic K. 23. Milovanovic G. 9. Rahimic M. 5. Ristanovic P. 7. Sipovac D.	17. Drljo A. 99. Dujmovic F. (G) 5. Foco A. 9. Haracic D. 20. Karic H. 18. Mijic J. 77. Ovcina H. 31. Selimovic V. 21. Semdin A. 11. Zubanovic F.
Coaches
Trkulja B.	Durbuzovic H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Djuric N. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Drina A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
61', Vukoja B. ↓, Rahimic M. ↑,
61', Djuric N. ↓, Ristanovic P. ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Mekic N. ⚽,
69', Al Jaber A. ↓, Zubanovic F. ↑,
72', 0 - 3, Zubanovic F. ⚽,
76', 0 - 4, Zubanovic F. ⚽,
77', Karaklajic P. ↓, Sipovac D. ↑,
77', Jankovic L. ↓, Malic L. ↑,
78', Ovcina H. ↓, Haracic D. ↑,
78', Mekic N. ↓, Foco A. ↑,
82', Sipovac D. 🟨,
82', Hiros A. ↓, Drljo A. ↑,
82', Stilic S. ↓, Karic H. ↑,
85', Haracic D. (Pen),
85', 0 - 5, Zubanovic F. ⚽,

Preview

Zvijezda Brgule is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zvijezda Brgule won 1.

Zvijezda Brgule is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Željezničar is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Zvijezda Brgule won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Zvijezda Brgule won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zvijezda Brgule
Bosnian Premier League
10.05.24	Sarajevo - Zvijezda Brgule	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Zvijezda Brgule - Igman Konjic	2:2 ✺
27.04.24	Sloga Doboj - Zvijezda Brgule	2:0 ✺
24.04.24	Zvijezda Brgule - Tuzla City	3:2 ✺
19.04.24	Velež Mostar - Zvijezda Brgule	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLWL
- Željezničar Sarajevo
Bosnian Premier League
12.05.24	Igman Konjic - Željezničar Sarajevo	0:0 ✺
03.05.24	Željezničar Sarajevo - Tuzla City	2:0 ✺
27.04.24	GOŠK Gabela - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:2 ✺
23.04.24	Željezničar Sarajevo - Široki Brijeg	1:0 ✺
19.04.24	Posušje - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Premier League
10.03.24	Zvijezda Brgule - Željezničar Sarajevo	2:1
21.10.23	Željezničar Sarajevo - Zvijezda Brgule	1:0
29.02.20	Zvijezda Brgule - Željezničar Sarajevo	0:3
25.09.19	Željezničar Sarajevo - Zvijezda Brgule	6:0
17.03.19	Željezničar Sarajevo - Zvijezda Brgule	1:0
28.10.18	Željezničar Sarajevo - Zvijezda Brgule	0:1
12.08.18	Zvijezda Brgule - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:3

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