Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 34

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: GGZ-Arena Zwickau (Zwickau)


	Zwickau		Chemie Leipzig

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.7	3
	2.04	3.76	3.03
	2.03	3.63	3.14
	2	3.75	2.88
	1.89	3.7	3.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.86)	3.71 ↓ (3.8)	3.07 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zwickau
45.6%

Draw
24.6%

Chemie Leipzig
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

24.2%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

25.9%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwickau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Chemie Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zwickau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chemie Leipzig than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Zwickau - Chemie Leipzig Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Zimmermann M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwickau won 3.

Zwickau is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chemie Leipzig is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Zwickau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Zwickau might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Zwickau won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 2.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Zwickau won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Zwickau	11	4	3	4	13:17	-4	15
14	Chemie Leipzig	11	2	3	6	12:17	-5	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV Zwickau
German Regionalliga Nordost
09.05.26	Chemnitzer - Zwickau	3:2 ✺
03.05.26	Zwickau - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Luckenwalde - Zwickau	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	Zwickau - Preussen	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Greifswald - Zwickau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWW
- Chemie Leipzig
German Regionalliga Nordost
08.05.26	Chemie Leipzig - Eilenburg	3:2 ✺
03.05.26	Meuselwitz - Chemie Leipzig	0:4 ✺
25.04.26	Chemie Leipzig - Hertha Zehlendorf	4:2 ✺
18.04.26	Hertha Berlin II - Chemie Leipzig	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Chemie Leipzig - Lokomotive Leipzig	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
29.11.25	Chemie Leipzig - Zwickau	1:2
11.05.25	Zwickau - Chemie Leipzig	1:1
24.11.24	Chemie Leipzig - Zwickau	0:2
10.03.24	Chemie Leipzig - Zwickau	1:2
22.09.23	Zwickau - Chemie Leipzig	0:0
Club Friendly
30.06.21	Chemie Leipzig - Zwickau	1:7

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