The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rot-Weiß Erfurt 62.1%
Draw 20.7%
Zwickau 17.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.8%
22.6%
25.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
21.9%
24.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rot-Weiß Erfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rot-Weiß Erfurt's performance.
Zwickau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zwickau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Erfurt than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rot-Weiß Erfurt that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zwickau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rot Weiß Erfurt - Zwickau Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Harant P. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Forkel D. ⚽,
24', 1 - 2, Fobassam O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+6', 2 - 2, Schwarz T. ⚽,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 2nd and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Erfurt won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Rot-Weiß Erfurt carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Rot-Weiß Erfurt has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:27 (averaging 1.6:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rot-Weiß Erfurt against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:15 goals (averaging 1.9:2.1 per game).