Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Chemnitzer		Eilenburg

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.05	5.7
	1.53	4.18	5.59
	1.47	3.94	6.06
	1.49	4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 (1.5)	4.04 ↓ (4.1)	5.74 ↑ (5.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chemnitzer
61.3%

Draw
22.7%

Eilenburg
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

22.3%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

21.3%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chemnitzer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Eilenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chemnitzer than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eilenburg than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Chemnitzer - Eilenburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Pestel K. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Bozic D. ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, Grimaldi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 2 - 2, Kallenbach W. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chemnitzer won 3.

Recent performances by Chemnitzer have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Eilenburg is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Chemnitzer has had a series of away games.

In this match, Chemnitzer is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Chemnitzer won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Chemnitzer won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chemnitzer FC
German Regionalliga Nordost
27.09.25	Carl Zeiss Jena - Chemnitzer	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Chemnitzer	2:2 ✺
17.09.25	Chemnitzer - Hallescher	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Babelsberg - Chemnitzer	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.09.25	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Chemnitzer	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LTWWL
- FC Eilenburg
German Regionalliga Nordost
27.09.25	Eilenburg - Hertha Zehlendorf	1:1 ✺
23.09.25	Magdeburg II - Eilenburg	4:0 ✺
16.09.25	Eilenburg - Babelsberg	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Carl Zeiss Jena - Eilenburg	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Eilenburg - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
09.05.25	Eilenburg - Chemnitzer	2:2
24.11.24	Chemnitzer - Eilenburg	1:0
12.05.24	Eilenburg - Chemnitzer	3:2
31.01.24	Chemnitzer - Eilenburg	2:0
06.04.22	Eilenburg - Chemnitzer	1:2
03.10.21	Chemnitzer - Eilenburg	2:0
Club Friendly
13.07.18	Eilenburg - Chemnitzer	1:2

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