Match Info

Date: 27 July 2022, Wednesday

Location: Letzigrund Stadion (Zürich)

Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	SportKlub
Switzerland	SRF


	Zürich		Qarabağ Agdam

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	2.9	Watch
	2.2	3.6	2.9
	2.2	3.65	3.15
	2.15	3.6	2.9
	2.17	3.8	3.11
	2.2	3.5	3.1
	2.12	3.65	3.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2)	3.63 ↑ (3.6)	3.02 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zürich
43.2%

Draw
25.8%

Qarabağ Agdam
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

26.6%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

28.1%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zürich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qarabağ Agdam's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zürich than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zürich, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qarabağ Agdam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.9%	18.4%	48.7%

Zürich - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions

Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Zürich will win (votes: 25 - 32.9%). Qarabağ will win (votes: 37 - 48.7%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 18.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Qarabağ: 37.5% – 59.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-3.

Zürich is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Qarabağ is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zürich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Zürich will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Zürich won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zürich
Swiss Super League
23.07.22	Zürich - Luzern	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.07.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Zürich	3:2 ✺
Swiss Super League
16.07.22	Young Boys - Zürich	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.22	Stuttgart - Zürich	3:2 ✺
22.06.22	Zürich - Viktoria Köln	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLW
- FK Qarabağ Agdam
UEFA Champions League
19.07.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Zürich	3:2 ✺
12.07.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Lech Poznań	5:1 ✺
05.07.22	Lech Poznań - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.06.22	Universitatea Craiova - Qarabağ Agdam	1:1 ✺
29.06.22	Holstein Kiel - Qarabağ Agdam	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
19.07.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Zürich	3:2
Club Friendly
21.01.15	Qarabağ Agdam - Zürich	1:1

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