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Current Win Probability
Zürich 37.1%
Draw 23.7%
Luzern 39.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.7%
23.6%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
23.8%
39.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zürich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Luzern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zürich than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Zürich - Luzern Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Super League (Championship Group: ) and 8th in the Super League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 2.
Zürich is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Luzern have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Zürich could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Zürich has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:32 (averaging 1.7:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Zürich against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 18:16 goals (averaging 1.8:1.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Zurich
10
4
2
4
18:22
-4
14
8
Luzern
10
3
3
4
17:22
-5
12
Outrights of Swiss Super League for now
Zurich: 2.02% Luzern: 0.54%
Last Results with these Odds
Zürich - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.71%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.