Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 10

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Ząbkovia Ząbki		Mławianka Mława

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.00	3.80
	1.68	3.95	3.65
	1.78	4.3	3.6
	1.78	4.38	3.3	Watch
	1.76	4.35	3
	1.77	4.2	3.59	Watch
	1.73	3.56	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.73)	4.11 ↑ (3.56)	3.52 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ząbkovia Ząbki
52.2%

Draw
22.1%

Mławianka Mława
25.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.2%

24.9%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

22.9%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ząbkovia Ząbki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Mławianka Mława has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ząbkovia Ząbki than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mławianka Mława than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Ząbkovia Ząbki - Mławianka Mława Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ząbkovia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Mławianka will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Sobocinski M. ⚽,
11', 0 - 2, Rojkowski T. ⚽,
41', 0 - 3, Stryjewski Mi. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
57', 0 - 4, Rojkowski T. ⚽,
68', 1 - 4, Sliwka K. ⚽,
90', 2 - 4, Gadomski F. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 4, Jasinski M. ⚽,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 3rd and 15th).

Ząbkovia is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Mławianka is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Ząbkovia carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Ząbkovia in today's match, at odds of 1.72.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Ząbkovia has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:4 (averaging 3.5:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ząbkovia against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Zabki	14	6	4	4	27:23	4	22
16	Mlawa	14	4	2	8	27:37	-10	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ząbkovia Ząbki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.09.26	ŁKS Łomża - Ząbkovia Ząbki	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	4:2 ✺
05.09.26	Weszło - Ząbkovia Ząbki	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Pelikan Łowicz	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Warta Sieradz - Ząbkovia Ząbki	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLWW
- Mławianka Mława
Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.09.26	Mławianka Mława - Troszyn	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Mławianka Mława	7:4 ✺
06.09.26	Mławianka Mława - ŁKS Łódź II	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Wisła Płock II - Mławianka Mława	5:3 ✺
22.08.26	ŁKS Łomża - Mławianka Mława	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
22.11.25	Mławianka Mława - Ząbkovia Ząbki	2:1
02.08.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Mławianka Mława	6:2

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