The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki 56.8%
Draw 22.4%
Troszyn 20.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
61.7%
21%
17.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.3%
19.5%
16.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Troszyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troszyn than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Troszyn Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Tyska J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
78', 2 - 0, Bartoszek J. ⚽,
85', 3 - 0, Troc A. ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 4th and 17th in the Relegation).
Świt is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Troszyn have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Świt could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Świt for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Świt in today's match, at odds of 1.51.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Świt has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:6 (averaging 1:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Świt against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.
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