Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Troszyn		Ząbkovia Ząbki

	1	X	2
	2.76	3.5	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.79)	3.5 ↑ (3.47)	2.08 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 12.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troszyn
32.1%

Draw
25.3%

Ząbkovia Ząbki
42.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.7%

25.5%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

24.6%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troszyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Ząbkovia Ząbki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troszyn than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ząbkovia Ząbki than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Troszyn - Ząbkovia Ząbki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 8th).

In recent outings, Troszyn has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Ząbkovia shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Troszyn has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:6 (averaging 3:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Troszyn against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Zabki	14	6	4	4	27:23	4	22
17	Troszyn	14	2	5	7	15:30	-15	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS CK Troszyn
Polish Division 3 - Group I
14.10.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Troszyn	0:1 ✺
10.10.26	Wisła Płock II - Troszyn	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Troszyn - ŁKS Łódź II	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Mławianka Mława - Troszyn	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Troszyn - ŁKS Łomża	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLTLT
- Ząbkovia Ząbki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
14.10.26	ŁKS Łódź II - Ząbkovia Ząbki	0:3 ✺
10.10.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:2 ✺
25.09.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Mławianka Mława	3:4 ✺
18.09.26	ŁKS Łomża - Ząbkovia Ząbki	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
21.03.26	Troszyn - Ząbkovia Ząbki	4:0
30.08.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Troszyn	6:2

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