Match Info

Serie D - Round 2

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Conselheiro Galvao (Rio de Janeiro) 🌤️ ...


	Madureira		Água Santa

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Madureira
40.1%

Draw
31%

Água Santa
28.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.6%

31%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

29.9%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madureira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Água Santa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madureira than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Madureira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madureira EC
Brazilian Serie D
04.04.26	Pouso Alegre - Madureira	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.03.26	Madureira - Águia de Marabá	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
02.03.26	Madureira - Flamengo	0:8 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Madureira - ABC	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
22.02.26	Flamengo - Madureira	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL
- EC Água Santa
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
08.04.26	Votuporanguense - Água Santa	5:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
04.04.26	Água Santa - America RJ	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
28.03.26	Água Santa - Ituano	1:2 ✺
25.03.26	Ituano - Água Santa	3:0 ✺
18.03.26	Água Santa - Votuporanguense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLT

Madureira - Água Santa