Match Info

Serie D - Round 2

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Conselheiro Galvao (Rio de Janeiro)


	Madureira		Água Santa

	1	X	2
	2.28	3	3.29
	2.4	3.01	2.95	Watch
	2.2	2.75	3.1
	2.26	3.05	3.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.46)	2.95 ↑ (2.91)	3.18 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madureira
40.1%

Draw
31%

Água Santa
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

31%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

29.9%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madureira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Água Santa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madureira than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Madureira - Água Santa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Welington Zaru ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Wallace Camilo ⚽,
38', 3 - 0, Adriano ⚽,
44', 3 - 1, Gustavinho ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Madureira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madureira EC
Brazilian Serie D
04.04.26	Pouso Alegre - Madureira	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.03.26	Madureira - Águia de Marabá	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
02.03.26	Madureira - Flamengo	0:8 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Madureira - ABC	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
22.02.26	Flamengo - Madureira	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL
- EC Água Santa
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
08.04.26	Votuporanguense - Água Santa	5:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
04.04.26	Água Santa - America RJ	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
28.03.26	Água Santa - Ituano	1:2 ✺
25.03.26	Ituano - Água Santa	3:0 ✺
18.03.26	Água Santa - Votuporanguense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLT

Madureira - Água Santa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide