Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 14

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday


	Água Santa U20		Palmeiras U20

	1	X	2
	5.50	4.00	1.46
	6.40	4.00	1.42
	6.35	4.08	1.39
	6.1	3.94	1.48	Watch
	5.75	3.8	1.43
	7.05	3.92	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.19 ↓ (7)	3.96 ↓ (4.6)	1.43 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Água Santa U20
14.5%

Draw
22.7%

Palmeiras U20
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.8%

19.5%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4%

18.9%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Água Santa U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Palmeiras U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Água Santa U20 than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras U20 than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palmeiras U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Água Santa U20 - Palmeiras U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 0 - 2, ⚽,
78', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Água Santa U20 is Qualified for Paulista U20 (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Palmeiras U20 is Qualified for Paulista U20 (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Água Santa U20 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Palmeiras U20 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Água Santa U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Palmeiras U20 is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Água Santa U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:7. (average 1:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, Água Santa U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Água Santa U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
21.08.26	Água Santa U20 - Tanabi U20	1:0 ✺
11.08.26	Capivariano U20 - Água Santa U20	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Guarani U20 - Água Santa U20	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Água Santa U20 - Sfera U20	1:3 ✺
24.07.26	Água Santa U20 - Ituano U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLLT
- Palmeiras U20
Brasileiro U20
04.09.26	Palmeiras U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Vasco da Gama U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
21.08.26	Referência U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Palmeiras U20 - XV de Jaú U20	3:0 ✺
11.08.26	Palmeiras U20 - Ituano U20	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
18.05.25	Palmeiras U20 - Água Santa U20	6:1
Brazilian Copinha
11.01.22	Água Santa U20 - Palmeiras U20	1:1

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