The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vasco da Gama U20 35.7%
Draw 30.5%
Palmeiras U20 33.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35%
27.5%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35%
27.5%
37.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Palmeiras U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama U20 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras U20 than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Vasco da Gama U20 - Palmeiras U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Phillipe Gabriel (G) 6. Alison 4. Andre B. 9. Andrey Fernandes 7. Felipe L. 5. Gustavo Guimaraes (C) 11. Juninho 10. Lukas Zuccarello 2. Melim L. 8. Samuel 3. Wanyson
1. Kauan Lima (G) 6. Andre Lucas 5. Benedetti 10. Erick Bele 9. Fabiano 11. Felipe Teresa 2. Joao Gabriel 8. Joao Paulo 4. Kone M. 7. Luis Pacheco 3. Thiago Pimenta (C)
Substitutes
24. Alex Bruno 14. Amaral C. 17. Bernardo Manes 15. Breno Sales 19. Bruno Lopes 21. Falcao Y. 23. Gabriel Soares 18. Leo Felix 16. Lucas Rafael 12. Marcao (G) 20. Pedro Augusto 13. Renan
25. Felpa M. 23. Isaac 21. Juan Gabriel 16. Kaua Nunes 17. Kidani G. 18. Luis Arthur 12. Luis Saboia 13. Meykson 15. Ruan Yago 14. Souza L. F. (G) 19. Victor Gabriel 20. Vinicius
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Erick Bele ⚽,
45+3', Thiago Pimenta 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gustavo Guimaraes ↓, Bruno Lopes ↑,
58', Joao Gabriel ↓, Luis Saboia ↑,
58', Joao Paulo ↓, Vinicius ↑,
59', Andre B. ↓, Breno Sales ↑,
62', Juninho 🟨,
65', Kone M. 🟨,
67', Felipe Teresa ↓, Victor Gabriel ↑,
71', Lukas Zuccarello ↓, Leo Felix ↑,
71', Alison ↓, Lucas Rafael ↑,
71', Felipe L. ↓, Pedro Augusto ↑,
83', Andrey Fernandes ↓, Gabriel Soares ↑,
87', Fabiano ↓, Kidani G. ↑,
87', Kauan Lima 🟨,
90', Luis Pacheco 🟨,
Preview
First leg.
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco U20 won 1.
Recent performances by Vasco U20 have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Palmeiras U20 is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Vasco U20 won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 0.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Vasco U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.5:1.8).