The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Palmeiras U20 44.5%
Draw 28.5%
Vasco da Gama U20 27%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.2%
24.3%
22.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.9%
21.9%
20.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Palmeiras U20's form might have worsened.
Vasco da Gama U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras U20 than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palmeiras U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama U20 than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vasco da Gama U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Palmeiras U20 - Vasco da Gama U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kauan Lima (G) 6. Andre Lucas 4. Benedetti 10. Erick Bele 11. Fabiano 7. Felipe Teresa 9. Heittor Vinicius 5. Joao Paulo 2. Luis Saboia 3. Matheus Pimenta (C) 8. Vinicius
1. Phillipe Gabriel (G) 4. Andre B. 7. Andrey Fernandes 9. Bruno Lopes 5. Gustavo Guimaraes (C) 11. Juninho 10. Lukas Zuccarello 2. Melim L. 6. Riquelme Avellar 8. Samuel 3. Wanyson
Substitutes
21. Antonio 12. Joao Gabriel 16. Kaua Nunes 17. Kidani G. 13. Luccas Ramon 20. Luis Arthur 25. Meykson 15. Niakson 18. Ruan Yago 14. Souza L. F. (G) 19. Victor Gabriel 23. Wesley Lima
16. Alison 14. Amaral C. 17. Bernardo Manes 15. Breno Sales 23. Falcao Y. 21. Felipe L. 24. Gabriel Soares 18. Leo Felix 12. Marcao (G) 20. Minete D. 19. Pedro Augusto 13. Renan
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Andrey Fernandes ⚽,
19', Felipe Teresa ↓, Victor Gabriel ↑,
33', Andrey Fernandes 🟨,
35', Bruno Lopes 🟨,
40', Riquelme Avellar 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Fabiano 🟨,
54', Juninho ↓, Alison ↑,
59', 0 - 2, Andrey Fernandes ⚽,
60', Luis Saboia ↓, Joao Gabriel ↑,
66', Riquelme Avellar ↓, Felipe L. ↑,
66', Samuel ↓, Leo Felix ↑,
69', Vinicius 🟨,
76', Andre Lucas ↓, Kidani G. ↑,
76', Joao Paulo ↓, Niakson ↑,
80', Melim L. ↓, Bernardo Manes ↑,
80', Andrey Fernandes ↓, Breno Sales ↑,
80', Bruno Lopes ↓, Minete D. ↑,
89', 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 1-0.
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras U20 won 3.
Palmeiras U20 has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Vasco U20's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Palmeiras U20 could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras U20 won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 1.4:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras U20 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Palmeiras U20 - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 53.18%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
Serbia
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Kauan Lima (G) 
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