Match Info

Date: 3 April 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Águeda		São João de Ver

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.4	1.62
	4.7	3.4	1.6
	5.6	3.2	1.61
	6.11	3.35	1.68
	5.25	3.48	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.38 ↑ (4.84)	3.37 ↓ (3.82)	1.63 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águeda
16.9%

Draw
27.1%

São João de Ver
56%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.9%

23.9%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.5%

17.1%

69.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águeda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

São João de Ver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águeda than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São João de Ver could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Águeda is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches São João de Ver is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Águeda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match São João de Ver is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Águeda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RD Águeda
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
21.03.21	Águeda - Castro Daire	0:2 ✺
12.03.21	Águeda - Canelas	0:0 ✺
01.03.21	Águeda - Anadia	1:3 ✺
24.02.21	Beira-Mar - Águeda	1:1 ✺
20.02.21	Lusitano de Vildemoinhos - Águeda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTLTL
- São João de Ver
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.03.21	SC Espinho - São João de Ver	3:0 ✺
07.03.21	São João de Ver - Canelas	0:0 ✺
28.02.21	Castro Daire - São João de Ver	0:3 ✺
21.02.21	São João de Ver - Valadares Gaia	0:0 ✺
14.02.21	Beira-Mar - São João de Ver	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.01.21	São João de Ver - Águeda	1:0

Águeda - São João de Ver

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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