The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Åsane 14.8%
Draw 18.1%
Stabæk 67.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
17.5%
20.7%
61.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.6%
17.6%
52.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Åsane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Stabæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stabæk's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Åsane than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Åsane, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stabæk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Åsane - Stabæk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Klausen M. (G) 4. Diaby H. 10. Barmen K. (C) 15. Oprea F. 22. Wolfe D. 8. Eikrem J. 18. Baldursson B. 7. Geelmuyden H. 5. Iversen E. 30. Myklebust E. 26. Fismen M.
22. Ulla M. (G) 2. Riise F. 4. Naess N. (C) 14. Lereng E. 29. Ekorness K. 6. Matic A. 28. Santos D. 23. Wendt W. 33. Aamodt A. 8. Dahlby M. 9. Sanyang A.
Substitutes
6. Brudvik S. 17. Furebotn T. L. 77. Haga K. 14. Haga M. 45. Haga S. 20. Nygard S. 23. Ramsay G. 12. Reset-Kalland I. (G) 11. Rossi L.
12. Gunnerod L. (G) 16. Hoven A. 21. Krogstad F. 10. Olderheim S. 20. Rapp G. 5. Skjelvik J. 7. Solnordal O. 15. Veum O.
Coaches
Lyngbo T.
Kjell A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Naess N. 🟨,
40', Lereng E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Wendt W. ⚽,
55', Iversen E. ↓, Haga K. ↑,
60', Aamodt A. ↓, Rapp G. ↑,
60', Santos D. ↓, Krogstad F. ↑,
60', Baldursson B. ↓, Nygard S. ↑,
61', Geelmuyden H. ↓, Haga M. ↑,
71', Dahlby M. ↓, Olderheim S. ↑,
71', Matic A. ↓, Solnordal O. ↑,
75', Haga M. 🟨,
86', Myklebust E. ↓, Rossi L. ↑,
86', Wolfe D. ↓, Haga S. ↑,
86', Riise F. ↓, Hoven A. ↑,
86', Krogstad F. 🟨,
90', Diaby H. 🟨,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 4th in the Promotion - OBOS - ligaen (Promotion - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Åsane won 0.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Stabæk holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Åsane has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:18 (averaging 0.6:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Åsane against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:7 goals (averaging 1:2.3 per game).