Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 24

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Haugesund Stadion (Haugesund)

Referee: Haugen J. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1


	Haugesund		Stabæk

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.50	4.00
	1.63	4.50	3.80
	1.74	4.10	3.45
	1.67	4.81	4.21
	1.7	4.62	3.87	Watch
	1.69	4.60	3.95
	1.66	4.54	4.03	Watch
	1.65	4.40	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.88)	4.51 ↑ (3.93)	3.88 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haugesund
55.5%

Draw
20.6%

Stabæk
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

23.3%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

22.4%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haugesund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Haugesund's performance.

Stabæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haugesund than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Haugesund - Stabæk Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Haugesund will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Stabæk will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Haugesund (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Stople F. (G) 18. Solheim V. 3. Molde S. 23. Norbye J. 42. Bondhus A. 14. Nilsen S. 16. Leite B. 41. Remmem L. 11. Sandberg N. 29. Diarra S. (C) 26. Andersen E.	22. Ulla M. (G) 2. Riise F. 4. Naess N. (C) 14. Lereng E. 29. Ekorness K. 28. Jonker D. 16. Hoven A. 23. Wendt W. 24. Hanstad J. 9. Sanyang A. 21. Krogstad F.
Substitutes
10. Derviskadic E. 40. Grindhaug A. 8. Hannola P. 7. Rohd E. 37. Schifferl R. 20. Seone I. 13. Sims K. (G)	8. Dahlby M. 12. Gunnerod L. (G) 31. Lie A. 20. Rapp G. 5. Skjelvik J. 17. Vetti G. 15. Veum O.
Coaches
Eide E.	Kjell A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Naess N. 🟨,
23', Santos D. 🟨,
39', Nilsen S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', Hoven A. ↓, Rapp G. ↑,
66', Solheim V. 🟨,
73', Santos D. ↓, Dahlby M. ↑,
73', Hanstad J. ↓, Vetti G. ↑,
73', Vetti G. 🟨,
74', 1 - 0, Sandberg N. ⚽,
76', Andersen E. ↓, Rohd E. ↑,
82', Leite B. ↓, Hannola P. ↑,
86', Riise F. ↓, Veum O. ↑,
90+1', Remmem L. ↓, Schifferl R. ↑,
90+1', Sandberg N. ↓, Grindhaug A. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 0, Rohd E. ⚽,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Eliteserien and 4th in the Promotion - OBOS - ligaen (Promotion - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haugesund won 1.

Haugesund arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Stabæk is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Haugesund is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Haugesund in today's match, at odds of 1.86.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Haugesund has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:26 (averaging 1.6:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Haugesund against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 18:6 goals (averaging 2.3:0.8 per game).

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Haugesund: 58.9% Stabaek: 0.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Haugesund	24	18	1	5	74:39	35	55
4	Stabaek	24	14	3	7	57:31	26	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Haugesund
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.09.26	Haugesund - Strømmen	4:2 ✺
13.09.26	Moss - Haugesund	1:4 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
08.09.26	Djerv 1919 - Haugesund	0:4 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
05.09.26	Haugesund - Sogndal	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Bryne - Haugesund	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW
- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.09.26	Stabæk - Sogndal	2:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Pors - Stabæk	2:1 AET ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
12.09.26	Bryne - Stabæk	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Stabæk - Moss	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Hødd - Stabæk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.04.26	Stabæk - Haugesund	3:2
Norwegian NM Cup
07.05.25	Stabæk - Haugesund	2:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
03.12.23	Haugesund - Stabæk	3:0
23.04.23	Stabæk - Haugesund	3:0
31.10.21	Stabæk - Haugesund	2:1
24.05.21	Haugesund - Stabæk	0:0
12.09.20	Stabæk - Haugesund	2:1

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