Match Info

Turkish Cup - Qualification - Final

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Çaykur Didi Stadyumu (Rize)


	Çaykur Rizespor		Pendikspor

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.3	3.5
	1.9	3.3	3.4
	1.97	3.4	3.74
	1.81	3.58	3.90	Watch
	2	3.1	3.5
	1.99	3.38	3.63	Watch
	1.9	3.33	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.75)	3.34 ↓ (3.44)	3.63 ↓ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Çaykur Rizespor
47.5%

Draw
27.4%

Pendikspor
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

26.3%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

28.1%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Çaykur Rizespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Pendikspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Çaykur Rizespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pendikspor than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Çaykur Rizespor - Pendikspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rizespor will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Rizespor (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Çaykur Rizespor will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rizespor (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Akaydin S. ⚽, Pala M. (A),
25', 2 - 0, Pala M. ⚽, Mihaila V. (A),
32', 3 - 0, Mihaila V. ⚽, Akaydin S. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 4 - 0, Olawoyin I. ⚽, Alikulov K. (A),
50', 5 - 0, Augusto L. ⚽, Pala M. (A),
83', 6 - 0, Sahin T. ⚽, Pala M. (A),
88', 6 - 1, Clarke-Harris J. ⚽,

Preview

Rizespor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pendikspor is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pendikspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rizespor is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rizespor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 2.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rizespor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Pendikspor - the odds 4.11 are the expected chance of winning is 22.02%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Çaykur Rizespor
Turkish Super League
29.11.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Kayserispor	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Fenerbahçe	2:5 ✺
08.11.25	Gaziantep - Çaykur Rizespor	2:2 ✺
03.11.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
30.10.25	Karaköprü - Çaykur Rizespor	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTWW
- Pendikspor
Turkish First League
28.11.25	Pendikspor - Manisa FK	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Hatayspor - Pendikspor	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Pendikspor - Umraniyespor	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	İstanbulspor - Pendikspor	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
29.10.25	Pendikspor - Çorluspor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
12.05.24	Pendikspor - Çaykur Rizespor	2:1
21.12.23	Çaykur Rizespor - Pendikspor	5:1
Turkish First League
29.04.23	Pendikspor - Çaykur Rizespor	3:2
05.12.22	Çaykur Rizespor - Pendikspor	1:1

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