Match Info

Super Lig - Round 30

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Çaykur Didi Stadyumu (Rize)

Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1


	Çaykur Rizespor		Sivasspor

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.8	3.6	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.8
	1.95	3.63	3.63	Watch
	1.94	3.7	3.8	Watch
	1.91	3.6	3.8
	1.94	3.73	3.81	Watch
	1.95	3.63	3.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.75)	3.67 ↓ (4.08)	3.72 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Çaykur Rizespor
49.1%

Draw
25.7%

Sivasspor
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

23.5%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

23%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Çaykur Rizespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Çaykur Rizespor's form might have worsened.

Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Çaykur Rizespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	0%	9.5%

Çaykur Rizespor - Sivasspor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Sivasspor (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Rizespor (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Çaykur Rizespor will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Çaykur Rizespor will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Rizespor (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Sivasspor (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cetin T. (G) 37. Sahin T. 4. Mocsi A. 2. Alikulov K. 5. Hojer C. (C) 54. Pala M. 20. Ozcan B. 15. Jurecka V. 8. Varesanovic D. 77. Zeqiri A. 9. Sowe A.	35. Vural A. (G) 7. Paluli M. 26. Radakovic U. 30. Cigerci T. 3. Ciftci U. (C) 12. Moutoussamy S. 46. Boke T. 8. Charisis C. 80. Bekiroglu E. 24. Rodrigues G. 9. Manaj R.
Substitutes
28. Akintola B. 97. Avci D. 18. Buljubasic M. 17. Bulut E. 35. Dogan E. (G) 30. Grbic I. (G) 45. Karapo A. 27. Korkmaz E. 95. Ozbakir H.	14. Camara S. 58. Erdal Z. 74. Erdursun A. (G) 11. Menig Q. 23. Okumus A. 44. Poungouras A. 10. Pritchard A. 22. Simic V. 27. Sonko Sundberg N. 90. Turgunboev A.
Coaches
Palut I.	Calimbay R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Rodrigues G. ↓, Simic V. ↑,
65', Zeqiri A. ↓, Akintola B. ↑,
65', Jurecka V. ↓, Bulut E. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Ozcan B. (Pen),
77', Varesanovic D. ↓, Buljubasic M. ↑,
81', Moutoussamy S. ↓, Menig Q. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Simic V. ⚽, Paluli M. (A),
86', Boke T. ↓, Camara S. ↑,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rizespor won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sivasspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rizespor is a favorite.

There will not play in Rizespor: Akaydin S. (Red Card) Korkmaz E. (Broken Leg) Olawoyin I. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Sivasspor: Albayrak M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Rizespor: Alikulov K. (Injury) Omur A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sivasspor: Bassan E. (Knee Injury) Camara S. (Injury) Koita F. (Muscle Injury) Sonko Sundberg N. (Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Rizespor won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:18 (average 1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Rizespor won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Çaykur Rizespor
Turkish Super League
16.03.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Bodrumspor	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Antalyaspor - Çaykur Rizespor	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Alanyaspor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
26.02.25	Trabzonspor - Çaykur Rizespor	5:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
22.02.25	Samsunspor - Çaykur Rizespor	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWLW
- Sivasspor
Turkish Super League
29.03.25	Sivasspor - Adana Demirspor	5:1 ✺
16.03.25	Hatayspor - Sivasspor	3:2 ✺
09.03.25	Sivasspor - Göztepe	3:1 ✺
03.03.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Sivasspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
25.02.25	Sivasspor - Bodrumspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
02.11.24	Sivasspor - Çaykur Rizespor	2:1
11.02.24	Sivasspor - Çaykur Rizespor	1:0
23.09.23	Çaykur Rizespor - Sivasspor	1:1
16.05.22	Çaykur Rizespor - Sivasspor	1:2
22.12.21	Sivasspor - Çaykur Rizespor	1:1
27.02.21	Çaykur Rizespor - Sivasspor	0:0
26.10.20	Sivasspor - Çaykur Rizespor	0:2

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