Match Info

1. Lig - Round 30

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Mersin Stadyumu (Mersin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii


	Hatayspor		Sivasspor

	1	X	2
	13	6.5	1.17	Watch
	15.28	5.53	1.18
	14.03	7.2	1.18
	13.58	7.35	1.16	Watch
	13	6.5	1.18
	13.4	6.67	1.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.72 ↑ (12.7)	6.63 ↑ (6.62)	1.18 ↑ (1.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hatayspor
6.8%

Draw
14%

Sivasspor
79.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

7.2%

13.9%

78.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Hatayspor - Sivasspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hatayspor will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Sivasspor will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Sivasspor (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sivasspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
78. Daduk E. (G) 21. Gazanfer S. 97. Sen M. 95. Buz Y. A. 47. Ozen S. 4. Gonulacar M. (C) 48. Osman S. 25. Azrak Y. 81. Chaadaev R. 18. Durmushan U. 17. Yilmaz C.	1. Bakirbas G. (G) 7. Paluli M. (C) 2. Appindangoye A. 3. Erdogan O. 5. Basyigit E. 72. Avramovski D. 20. Celik M. 80. Celik C. 19. Gokay E. 14. Boke T. 27. Ethemi V.
Substitutes
9. Aksoy D. 19. Aksu C. B. 90. Ating P. 33. Aydemir E. 98. Aydin S. M. 84. Cemali H. 57. Danjuma M. 23. Dogan C. 34. Saricali D. (G) 20. Yildiz A.	22. Akkan G. (G) 92. Ala S. 11. Badji A. 16. Erdursun A. (G) 15. Fidan K. 17. Kesgin K. 12. Malle A. 95. Selvili A. 6. Yigiter O. 26. Yildirim M.
Coaches
Irtegun B.	Tasdemir I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Sen M. 🟨,
31', Celik M. ↓, Kesgin K. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Basyigit E. ↓, Yildirim M. ↑,
46', Durmushan U. ↓, Ating P. ↑,
46', Azrak Y. ↓, Yildiz A. ↑,
57', Celik C. ↓, Fidan K. ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Boke T. ⚽, Ethemi V. (A),
64', Gazanfer S. ↓, Aydemir E. ↑,
71', Yilmaz C. ↓, Aydin S. M. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Gonulacar M. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Ozen S. ↓, Dogan C. ↑,
80', Avramovski D. ↓, Badji A. ↑,
81', Gokay E. ↓, Malle A. ↑,
85', Yildiz A. 🟨,
86', 1 - 2, Badji A. ⚽, Appindangoye A. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hatayspor won 1.

Hatayspor is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sivasspor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Sivasspor is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Hatayspor: Bamgboye F. (Inactive) Massanga Matondo (Inactive) Ozgun T. (Suspended) Vatansever B. (Suspended)

There will not play in Sivasspor: Charisis C. (Red Card)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Hatayspor won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Hatayspor won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	9:11	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hatayspor
Turkish First League
07.03.26	Çorum - Hatayspor	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Hatayspor - Bodrumspor	1:3 ✺
22.02.26	Bandırmaspor - Hatayspor	4:0 ✺
17.02.26	Hatayspor - Igdirspor	0:2 ✺
13.02.26	Boluspor - Hatayspor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Sivasspor
Turkish First League
07.03.26	Sivasspor - Keçiörengücü	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Serik Belediyespor - Sivasspor	0:1 ✺
23.02.26	Sivasspor - Sakaryaspor	4:1 ✺
19.02.26	Adana Demirspor - Sivasspor	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Sivasspor - Vanspor	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
24.10.25	Sivasspor - Hatayspor	1:1
Turkish Super League
16.03.25	Hatayspor - Sivasspor	3:2
20.10.24	Sivasspor - Hatayspor	3:2
17.02.24	Hatayspor - Sivasspor	1:1
30.09.23	Sivasspor - Hatayspor	0:0
02.10.22	Sivasspor - Hatayspor	1:2
16.04.22	Hatayspor - Sivasspor	1:1

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