Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 26

Date: 22 March 2024, Friday


	Épinal		Dijon

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	1.88
	3.6	3.4	1.95
	3.98	3.61	1.97
	3.98	3.61	1.93
	3.7	3.3	1.85
	3.86	3.38	1.91	Watch
	3.55	3.35	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.25)	3.41 ↑ (3.37)	1.92 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Épinal
24.6%

Draw
27.1%

Dijon
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

27.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

27.8%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Épinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dijon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Épinal than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dijon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	0%	94.4%

Épinal - Dijon Predictions

Users Predictions: Dijon will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Salhi D. (G) 28. Aljic M. 13. Aloe B. 11. Bokele Mputu M. 6. Chere S. 8. Colin J. 27. Coulibaly K. 18. Godart Y. 7. Labissiere B. 20. Niang A. 15. Umbdenstock I.	1. Montfort L. (G) 34. Ariss Z. 21. Ben Fredj M. 18. Drouhin A. 29. Etoga L. 20. Fdaouch Z. 23. Makutungu C. 11. Nassi W. 6. Souici R. 28. Soumare B. 5. Temanfo A. (C)
Substitutes
10. Bennekrouf K. 30. Hatier L. (G) 22. Luvualu D. 17. M'Madi A. 19. Vallon A.	32. Duville-Parsemain A. 31. Hamada B. 33. Irie C. 22. N'Chobi Y. 8. Schur K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Soumare B. ↓, Schur K. ↑,
43', Niang A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Niang A. ↓, Vallon A. ↑,
64', Coulibaly K. ↓, Bennekrouf K. ↑,
64', Chere S. ↓, M'Madi A. ↑,
68', Nassi W. ↓, Irie C. ↑,
69', Ben Fredj M. ↓, N'Chobi Y. ↑,
81', 0 - 1, Irie C. ⚽, Fdaouch Z. (A),
83', Godart Y. ↓, Luvualu D. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Colin J. ⚽,
89', Schur K. ↓, Hamada B. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Épinal is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Dijon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dijon will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Épinal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Épinal FC
French Ligue 3
17.03.24	Rouen FC - Épinal	1:0 ✺
08.03.24	Épinal - Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue	0:2 ✺
01.03.24	Martigues - Épinal	2:1 ✺
23.02.24	Épinal - Niort	0:3 ✺
16.02.24	Sochaux - Épinal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLLLW
- Dijon FC
French Ligue 3
15.03.24	Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - Dijon	2:1 ✺
11.03.24	Dijon - Niort	1:0 ✺
01.03.24	Cholet - Dijon	2:1 ✺
26.02.24	Dijon - Nancy	3:1 ✺
16.02.24	Villefranche - Dijon	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
11.10.23	Dijon - Épinal	4:1

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