Match Info

Challenge League - Round 3

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday

Location: Stade de la Fontenette (Carouge)

Referee: Londino M. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Étoile Carouge		Neuchâtel Xamax

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.50	2.20
	2.68	3.55	2.28
	2.73	3.75	2.43
	2.47	3.64	2.61	Watch
	2.65	3.65	2.40
	2.64	3.44	2.27	Watch
	2.65	3.55	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.4)	3.58 ↓ (3.63)	2.35 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Étoile Carouge
35%

Draw
25.8%

Neuchâtel Xamax
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

25.5%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

25.9%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Étoile Carouge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Neuchâtel Xamax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Étoile Carouge - Neuchâtel Xamax Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Xamax will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Huwiler L. (G) 78. Boulkous N. 4. Strohbach I. 24. Dubosson M. 99. Tsoungui M. 8. Ricardo Alves 14. Camara S. 10. Caslei B. (C) 7. Correia O. 77. Escorza T. 88. Essiena L.	13. Likar U. (G) 16. Seydoux L. 60. Camara M. 21. Bergsma L. 7. Facchinetti M. 4. Abedini E. (C) 24. Keita I. 70. Diomande B. 8. Bayard R. 10. Mulaj L. 22. Luthi J.
Substitutes
16. Biku E. 42. Cavus D. (G) 1. Diallo M. (G) 6. El Jaouhari M. 21. Holcbecher M. 13. Koroma C. 2. Neves D. 17. Sene O. 22. Zrankeon G.	41. Bourezak A. 81. Carraco D. 25. Dind M. 3. Fontana J. 11. Garcia N. 28. Gjorgjev N. 5. Gunnarsson N. 1. Mossi A. (G) 40. Veya L.
Coaches
Nogueira P.	Berner B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Camara M. ⚽, Facchinetti M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Mulaj L. ↓, Gunnarsson N. ↑,
58', Facchinetti M. ↓, Fontana J. ↑,
67', Seydoux L. 🟨,
67', Diomande B. ↓, Carraco D. ↑,
68', Luthi J. ↓, Veya L. ↑,
77', Boulkous N. ↓, Sene O. ↑,
77', Caslei B. ↓, Koroma C. ↑,
78', Abedini E. 🟨,
83', Tsoungui M. ↓, El Jaouhari M. ↑,
83', Seydoux L. ↓, Dind M. ↑,
89', Dubosson M. ↓, Zrankeon G. ↑,
90', Escorza T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 1.

In recent matches, Étoile has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Xamax is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Étoile: Cespedes B. (Suspended) Christin B. (Injury) Hoxha F. (Injury) Januario E. (Muscle Injury) Kadima R. (Injury)

There will not play in Xamax: dos Santos G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Étoile: Itaitinga (Injury)

There are questionable in Xamax: Likar U. (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Étoile won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Xamax	9	4	0	5	12:17	-5	12
8	Etoile-Carouge	9	2	3	4	8:12	-4	9

Last Results with these Odds

Neuchâtel Xamax - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Étoile Carouge
Swiss Challenge League
31.07.26	Yverdon - Étoile Carouge	1:1 ✺
24.07.26	Étoile Carouge - Aarau	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Servette - Étoile Carouge	1:2 ✺
01.07.26	Étoile Carouge - Grand-Saconnex	0:1 ✺
27.06.26	Sion - Étoile Carouge	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 TWWLL
- Neuchâtel Xamax
Swiss Challenge League
31.07.26	Wil 1900 - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:2 ✺
24.07.26	Neuchâtel Xamax - Kriens	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.26	Neuchâtel Xamax - Coffrane	Canceled ✺
11.07.26	Lausanne-Sport - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:2 ✺
01.07.26	Neuchâtel Xamax - Sion	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WW?WL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
11.05.26	Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge	3:0
13.02.26	Étoile Carouge - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:3
17.10.25	Étoile Carouge - Neuchâtel Xamax	0:2
22.08.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge	2:1
09.05.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge	1:2
07.02.25	Étoile Carouge - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:1
18.10.24	Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge	0:3

Upcoming Matches