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Current Win Probability
Étoile Carouge 23.8%
Draw 24.3%
Vaduz 51.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29%
26.1%
44.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.1%
26.2%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Étoile Carouge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Étoile Carouge's form might have worsened.
Vaduz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vaduz's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Étoile Carouge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaduz than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vaduz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Étoile Carouge - Vaduz Predictions
Users Predictions:
Vaduz will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Antonio S. (C) 2. Neves D. 25. Felder V. 24. Fankhauser S. 3. Hoxha F. 88. Essiena Avang L. 20. Walker M. 33. Bua K. 58. Bossiwa S. 76. Itaitinga 99. Bouchlarhem T.
25. Schaffran L. (G) 4. Hasler N. (C) 27. Lang N. 6. Simani D. 7. Schwizer D. 24. Gasser C. 20. Mack L. 26. Hammerich M. 28. Cocic M. 9. Monsberger M. 15. Beyer B.
Substitutes
32. Biku E. 10. Caslei B. 27. Correia O. 18. Diallo M. M. (G) 77. Escorza T. 23. Philippin R. 11. Samba T. 17. Sene O. 14. Zrankeon G.
14. Beeli M. 1. Buchel B. (G) 30. Dantas Fernandes R. 16. De Donno G. 29. De Donno J. 22. Eberhard M. 11. Navarro J. 3. Sawadogo M. 8. Seiler S.
Coaches
Nogueira P.
Schneider M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Schwizer D. ⚽, Beyer B. (A),
13', Hasler N. 🟨,
14', 1 - 1, Itaitinga (Penalty Awarded),
16', 1 - 2, Schwizer D. ⚽,
25', Hoxha F. 🟨,
38', Essiena Avang L. 🟨,
45+1', Gasser C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Neves D. ↓, Caslei B. ↑,
62', Bossiwa S. ↓, Correia O. ↑,
71', Itaitinga ↓, Samba T. ↑,
73', Beyer B. ↓, Navarro J. ↑,
80', Bouchlarhem T. ↓, Sene O. ↑,
80', Essiena Avang L. ↓, Escorza T. ↑,
81', Cocic M. ↓, De Donno G. ↑,
84', Hasler N. 🟨,
87', Schwizer D. ↓, Sawadogo M. ↑,
87', Monsberger M. ↓, Beeli M. ↑,
90+4', Schaffran L. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 1.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
In this match, Vaduz is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Étoile: Boulkous N.
(Inactive)
Harrington F.
(Injury)
Ricardo Alves
(Inactive)
Rufli V.
(Injury)
There will not play in Vaduz: Berisha L.
(Broken rib)
Oehri T.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.6:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Étoile won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
Switzerland
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Antonio S. (C) 
Neves D. 
Felder V. 
Fankhauser S. 
Hoxha F. 
Itaitinga 
Schaffran L. (G) 
Hasler N. (C) 
Cocic M. 
Monsberger M. 
Diallo M. M. (G) 
Navarro J. 
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