The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aarau 66.4%
Draw 19.2%
Étoile Carouge 14.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59%
22%
18.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.4%
20.8%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aarau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aarau's performance.
Étoile Carouge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
92.6%
7.4%
0%
Aarau - Étoile Carouge Predictions
Users Predictions:
Aarau will win
(25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%). Confidence interval (95%): 82.71% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aarau will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hubel M. (G) 15. Muller S. 5. Acquah D. 2. Thaler M. (C) 29. Dickenmann M. 13. Zoukit N. 25. Derbaci D. 27. Obexer L. 10. Fazliu V. 11. Vladi S. 9. Filet E.
18. Diallo M. M. (G) 22. Rufli V. 25. Felder V. 14. Zrankeon G. 23. Philippin R. 33. Bua K. 6. El Jaouhari M. 10. Caslei B. (C) 27. Correia O. 76. Itaitinga 88. Essiena Avang L.
Substitutes
18. Afriyie D. 6. Aliu I. 32. Bobadilla R. 14. Chacon T. 30. Hirzel A. (G) 8. Jackle O. 17. Koide H. 31. Petit V. 19. Schwegler S.
1. Antonio S. (G) 44. Atangana B. E. (G) 32. Biku E. 12. Boulkous N. 77. Escorza T. 24. Fankhauser S. 2. Neves D. 11. Samba T. 17. Sene O.
Coaches
Iacopetta B.
Nogueira P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', El Jaouhari M. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Correia O. ⚽, Essiena Avang L. (A),
35', Rufli V. 🟨,
41', Bua K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', Diallo M. M. 🟨,
63', Obexer L. ↓, Petit V. ↑,
63', Derbaci D. ↓, Jackle O. ↑,
64', Vladi S. ↓, Afriyie D. ↑,
74', Afriyie D. 🟨,
75', Filet E. ↓, Bobadilla R. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Afriyie D. ⚽, Acquah D. (A),
78', Bua K. ↓, Escorza T. ↑,
78', Correia O. ↓, Sene O. ↑,
78', Rufli V. ↓, Boulkous N. ↑,
79', Dickenmann M. 🟨,
82', Escorza T. 🟨,
87', Acquah D. 🟨,
89', 1 - 2, Itaitinga (Penalty Awarded),
90', Itaitinga 🟨,
90', Philippin R. 🟨,
90', Fazliu V. 🟨,
90', Acquah D. ↓, Koide H. ↑,
90+1', Hubel M. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 3, Itaitinga (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 4.
Aarau is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Étoile is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Étoile may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Aarau is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Aarau: Frokaj L.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Étoile: Harrington F.
(Injury)
Walker M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Étoile: Bossiwa S.
(Inactive)
Strohbach I.
(Inactive)
We predict that Aarau will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Aarau won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
Switzerland
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Hubel M. (G) 
Acquah D. 
Vladi S. 
Filet E. 
Diallo M. M. (G) 
Itaitinga 
Bobadilla R. 
Chacon T. 
Antonio S. (G) 
Neves D. 
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