Match Info

Date: 12 October 2020, Monday


	Ñublense		Barnechea

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.4	5.5
	1.62	3.1	5
	1.61	3.5	4.9
	1.62	3.46	5.69
	1.6	3.6	5
	1.59	4	5.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.58)	3.51 ↑ (3.4)	5.22 ↓ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ñublense
56.7%

Draw
25.9%

Barnechea
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

26.5%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

21.6%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Barnechea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ñublense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnechea than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	4%	16%

Ñublense - Barnechea Predictions

Users Predictions: Ñublense will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Primera Division and 13).

Ñublense is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barnechea is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barnechea could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ñublense is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ñublense won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Ñublense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
08.10.20	San Luis - Ñublense	0:2 ✺
05.10.20	Ñublense - Cobreloa	3:2 ✺
27.09.20	Deportes Melipilla - Ñublense	1:0 ✺
23.09.20	Ñublense - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:0 ✺
17.09.20	Unión San Felipe - Ñublense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWT
- Barnechea
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
09.10.20	Barnechea - Unión San Felipe	1:0 ✺
05.10.20	Deportes Puerto Montt - Barnechea	1:1 ✺
01.10.20	Barnechea - Deportes Santa Cruz	2:3 ✺
26.09.20	Deportes Temuco - Barnechea	3:1 ✺
22.09.20	Barnechea - Deportes Melipilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
31.05.19	Barnechea - Ñublense	1:2
23.09.18	Ñublense - Barnechea	0:1
23.02.18	Barnechea - Ñublense	0:1
20.10.17	Barnechea - Ñublense	1:1
30.01.16	Ñublense - Barnechea	3:2
16.08.15	Barnechea - Ñublense	0:0
Chilean Primera Division
20.02.15	Barnechea - Ñublense	1:3

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