Match Info

Superettan - Round 7

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Finnvedsvallen (Varnamo)

Referee: Karlsson N. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play


	Värnamo		Örebro

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.5
	2.08	3.3	3.45
	2.11	3.4	3.84
	2.05	3.32	3.64	Watch
	2	3	3.4
	2.04	3.28	3.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.98)	3.25 ↓ (3.55)	3.57 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Värnamo
45.4%

Draw
28.6%

Örebro
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.3%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

26.1%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Örebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	20%	30%

Värnamo - Örebro Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Värnamo will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Örebro will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Värnamo: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Värnamo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Keto H. (G) 2. Rapp J. 6. Andersson H. 5. Bergqvist D. 7. Johansson C. 21. Abdulrazak I. 23. Robertsson L. 13. Jansson S. 3. Bjornstrom A. 14. Antonsson M. (C) 9. Meriluoto K.	75. Ojrzynski J. (G) 22. Bovalina G. 3. Sandberg V. (C) 32. Stenberg J. 11. Redenstrand C. 9. Yakoub A. 16. Soderstrom H. 5. Ortmark J. 21. Wahlstrom F. 18. Hrastovina E. 14. Dana H.
Substitutes
35. Blaca I. 17. Bozicevic F. 28. Diallo M. C. 19. Freij E. 24. Kamara M. 16. Kujundzic A. 4. Ohlsson S. 39. Sapielak B. (G) 34. Zulovic B.	45. Almkvist N. 15. Astvald L. 23. Dickson K. 2. Ghasem A. 17. Holmberg K. 30. Runheim B. (G) 28. Wowoah M. 99. Yasin A. 29. Zeljkovic A.
Coaches
Tufegdzic S.	Norling R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Bjornstrom A. 🟨,
33', Robertsson L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Wahlstrom F. ↓, Yasin A. ↑,
71', Bjornstrom A. ↓, Kamara M. ↑,
71', Jansson S. ↓, Kujundzic A. ↑,
71', Abdulrazak I. ↓, Ohlsson S. ↑,
71', Dana H. ↓, Holmberg K. ↑,
82', Rapp J. ↓, Bozicevic F. ↑,
82', Meriluoto K. ↓, Zulovic B. ↑,
84', 0 - 1, Stenberg J. ⚽, Soderstrom H. (A),
90+1', Hrastovina E. ↓, Astvald L. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 7).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Värnamo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:9. (average 0:3).

Including home match between the teams, Värnamo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Varnamo	25	8	5	12	33:45	-12	29
14	Orebro	25	5	9	11	27:39	-12	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Superettan
08.05.26	Varbergs BoIS - Värnamo	3:2 ✺
03.05.26	Östersund - Värnamo	3:2 ✺
26.04.26	Värnamo - Oddevold	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Sandviken - Värnamo	0:1 ✺
14.04.26	Värnamo - Sundsvall	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWWW
- Örebro SK
Swedish Superettan
08.05.26	Örebro - Brage	0:3 ✺
02.05.26	Varbergs BoIS - Örebro	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Örebro - Norrby	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Örebro - Norrköping	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Öster - Örebro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
02.08.13	Värnamo - Örebro	0:5
08.04.13	Örebro - Värnamo	2:0
Svenska Cupen
02.03.13	Örebro - Värnamo	2:0

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