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Current Win Probability
Varbergs BoIS 64.5%
Draw 22.6%
Sundsvall 13%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.2%
25.1%
21.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.7%
24%
20.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varbergs BoIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varbergs BoIS's performance.
Sundsvall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sundsvall might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varbergs BoIS that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sundsvall than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sundsvall could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.8%
9.1%
9.1%
Varbergs BoIS - Sundsvall Predictions
Users Predictions:
Varbergs BoIS will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ekman O. (G) 22. Dahlstrom N. 17. Tellgren E. 2. Broman G. (C) 5. Hellman E. 15. Johansson N. 28. Sadiku E. 8. Winbo A. 7. Arlig W. 49. Borgelin S. 12. Nioule S.
1. Olsson J. (G) 17. Eriksson N. 3. Hallin M. 18. Forsberg L. 2. Pantelidis A. 9. Kagayama T. 20. Bjornler J. 6. Manchon M. (C) 5. Atlee A. 15. Kebbeh S. 23. Aviander H.
Substitutes
9. Bitiqi A. 24. Bryneus O. 18. Lindner J. 19. Nilsson J. 29. Strindholm D. (G) 16. Thorsson A. 21. Vidjeskog I. 20. Werner O. 3. Zackrisson H.
25. Baah C. 27. Bahtijar A. 29. Bandolo R. 34. Bjuhr W. 22. Eriksson M. 30. Mambu J. 21. Sulaiman K. 11. Tammivuori S.
Coaches
Salwen V.
Ates E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Johansson N. 🟨,
41', Kebbeh S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Arlig W. 🟨,
66', Borgelin S. ↓, Bitiqi A. ↑,
67', Winbo A. ↓, Vidjeskog I. ↑,
67', Bjornler J. ↓, Eriksson M. ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Vidjeskog I. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Nioule S. ↓, Nilsson J. ↑,
81', Arlig W. ↓, Thorsson A. ↑,
83', Aviander H. 🟨,
84', Atlee A. ↓, Tammivuori S. ↑,
84', Pantelidis A. ↓, Sulaiman K. ↑,
90+2', Sadiku E. ↓, Zackrisson H. ↑,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varberg won 3.
Varberg is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sundsvall's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Varberg is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Varberg will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Varberg won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Varberg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
Sweden
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Ekman O. (G) 
Sadiku E. 
Borgelin S. 
Nioule S. 
Kagayama T. 
Manchon M. (C) 
Kebbeh S. 
Vidjeskog I. 
Baah C. 
Bandolo R. 
Ates E. 
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