Match Info

Superettan - Round 6

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday

Location: Behrn Arena (Örebro)

Referee: Svraka J. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 3, Max, TV4 Play


	Örebro		Trelleborg

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.6	2.4	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.45
	2.7	3.6	2.4	Watch
	2.78	3.75	2.38
	2.61	3.51	2.52
	2.5	3.3	2.5
	2.72	3.56	2.38	Watch
	2.7	3.6	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.29)	3.52 ↑ (3.4)	2.43 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Örebro
35%

Draw
26.5%

Trelleborg
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

27.2%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

25.7%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Örebro's form might have worsened.

Trelleborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trelleborg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Örebro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trelleborg than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trelleborg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Örebro - Trelleborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Örebro will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Örebro (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Örebro (2.11) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Örebro (votes: 3 - 75%). Trelleborg (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pahlsson M. (G) 2. Ghasem A. 3. Kack O. 4. McCue E. 11. Kroon S. 22. Shlimon L. 6. Bajrovic M. 21. Alperud L. 8. Azizovic A. 9. Yakoub A. 17. Holmberg K. (C)	1. Larsen A. (G) 20. Horberg F. 19. Karlsson T. 3. Weberg C. (C) 15. Godwin E. 7. Andersson J. 24. Christiansson V. 10. Vidjeskog A. 8. Ruuska O. 17. Bohman F. 11. Culum A.
Substitutes
7. Andersson E. 15. Astvald L. 18. Hrastovina E. 30. Runheim B. (G) 14. Shagaxle H. 20. Swartling C. 10. Tipura S.	21. Alievski E. 16. Asani A. 9. Jaf E. 26. Kack J. 22. Martinsson F. 12. Nilsson M. (G) 5. Ogwuche A.
Coaches
Kenic S.	Jacobsson S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Shlimon L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Azizovic A. ↓, Hrastovina E. ↑,
60', Ghasem A. ↓, Astvald L. ↑,
64', Andersson J. ↓, Asani A. ↑,
64', Ruuska O. ↓, Martinsson F. ↑,
75', Alperud L. ↓, Shagaxle H. ↑,
79', Kroon S. 🟨,
81', Godwin E. ↓, Alievski E. ↑,
89', Vidjeskog A. 🟨,
90', Yakoub A. ↓, Tipura S. ↑,
90', Shlimon L. ↓, Andersson E. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Örebro won 0.

Örebro is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Trelleborg is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Trelleborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Örebro won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Örebro won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örebro SK
Swedish Superettan
29.04.25	Falkenberg - Örebro	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Örgryte - Örebro	3:0 ✺
15.04.25	Örebro - Helsingborg	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Varbergs BoIS - Örebro	2:1 ✺
01.04.25	Örebro - Västerås SK	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Trelleborgs FF
Swedish Superettan
27.04.25	Trelleborg - Varbergs BoIS	0:4 ✺
20.04.25	Trelleborg - Brage	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Sandviken - Trelleborg	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Umeå - Trelleborg	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Trelleborg - Östersund	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
13.09.24	Trelleborg - Örebro	2:1
24.06.24	Örebro - Trelleborg	1:1
07.08.23	Trelleborg - Örebro	2:2
17.07.23	Örebro - Trelleborg	0:0
17.10.22	Trelleborg - Örebro	2:1
12.07.22	Örebro - Trelleborg	2:2
Svenska Cupen
20.02.21	Örebro - Trelleborg	0:1

Upcoming Matches