Match Info

Superettan - Round 5

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Vångavallen (Trelleborg)

Referee: Hasani R. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 7, Max, TV4 Play


	Trelleborg		Varbergs BoIS

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.1
	2.15	3.3	3
	2.19	3.37	3.23	Watch
	2.2	3.55	3.34
	2.16	3.37	3.28	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3
	2.24	3.44	3.02	Watch
	2.19	3.37	3.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.92)	3.38 ↓ (3.76)	3.15 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trelleborg
42.8%

Draw
27.6%

Varbergs BoIS
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

25.1%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trelleborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trelleborg's form might have worsened.

Varbergs BoIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Trelleborg - Varbergs BoIS Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Trelleborg will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Varberg will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varberg: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Varberg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Varberg (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Varberg (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Varberg (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nilsson M. (G) 15. Godwin E. 19. Karlsson T. 3. Weberg C. (C) 21. Alievski E. 7. Andersson J. 24. Christiansson V. 10. Vidjeskog A. 8. Ruuska O. 17. Bohman F. 11. Culum A.	29. Andersson F. (G) 23. Tokich M. 12. Tellgren E. 2. Broman G. (C) 24. Hellman E. 21. Vidjeskog I. 28. Sadiku E. 13. Edlund O. 14. Alfonsi O. 15. Jonasson Westermark J. 10. Shabani L.
Substitutes
16. Asani A. 20. Horberg F. 9. Jaf E. 26. Kack J. 1. Larsen A. (G) 22. Martinsson F. 5. Ogwuche A.	19. Appiah Nyarko K. 1. Ekman O. (G) 11. Mohudin N. A. 17. Olausson L. 7. Tranberg R. 25. Wiklund A. 3. Zackrisson H.
Coaches
Jacobsson S.	Hansen R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Alfonsi O. ⚽, Tellgren E. (A),
13', Tokich M. 🟨,
15', Vidjeskog I. 🟨,
24', 0 - 2, Alfonsi O. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 3, Broman G. ⚽, Edlund O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tokich M. ↓, Zackrisson H. ↑,
53', Vidjeskog A. 🟨,
60', Culum A. ↓, Martinsson F. ↑,
60', Ruuska O. ↓, Ogwuche A. ↑,
61', Alievski E. ↓, Horberg F. ↑,
74', Vidjeskog I. ↓, Tranberg R. ↑,
74', Alfonsi O. ↓, Appiah Nyarko K. ↑,
75', 0 - 4, Edlund O. ⚽,
77', Godwin E. ↓, Kack J. ↑,
77', Andersson J. ↓, Asani A. ↑,
85', Shabani L. ↓, Wiklund A. ↑,
85', Jonasson Westermark J. ↓, Mohudin N. A. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Trelleborg won 1.

Trelleborg is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Varberg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Varberg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Trelleborg won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.4:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Trelleborg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trelleborgs FF
Swedish Superettan
20.04.25	Trelleborg - Brage	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Sandviken - Trelleborg	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Umeå - Trelleborg	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Trelleborg - Östersund	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Mjällby - Trelleborg	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL
- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Superettan
21.04.25	Varbergs BoIS - Umeå	4:0 ✺
13.04.25	Brage - Varbergs BoIS	1:1 ✺
07.04.25	Varbergs BoIS - Örebro	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Falkenberg - Varbergs BoIS	2:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
03.03.25	Varbergs BoIS - Stockholm Internazionale	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.02.25	Varbergs BoIS - Trelleborg	2:1
Swedish Superettan
02.11.24	Trelleborg - Varbergs BoIS	0:1
06.05.24	Varbergs BoIS - Trelleborg	0:1
26.08.19	Trelleborg - Varbergs BoIS	0:1
07.04.19	Varbergs BoIS - Trelleborg	3:1
02.10.17	Trelleborg - Varbergs BoIS	1:1
10.06.17	Varbergs BoIS - Trelleborg	0:0

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